?Prime Minister Patrick Manning is right when he points to the inherent instability of coalition movements formed in this country.
Speaking at a meeting of the ruling People's National Movement in Plum Mitan in the constituency of Cumuto/Manzanilla on Monday, the Prime Minister outlined several instances when coalition parties–in government or out–fell apart because of irreconcilable differences. Mr Manning pointed to the instability in the United Labour Front between former Opposition Leader Basdeo Panday and former mutineer Raffique Shah in the 1976 to 1981 Parliament. He noted, as well, the establishment of a coalition government by the National Alliance for Reconstruction in 1986 and the fact that that arrangement fell apart two years later when Basdeo Panday formed Club 88. In 1995, there was a coalition government of sorts as the Panday-led United National Congress won 17 seats and went on to form the government as it aligned with the two NAR Tobago seats.
Even that coalition broke down as the UNC was able to woo two members of the PNM, which was then in opposition, and dispensed with the ministerial services of Pamela Nicholson, who was dropped as the Minister of Sports and Youth Affairs in September 1998. While it is true that coalition governments in the local context have proven to be very unstable, what Mr Manning may have missed in his analysis of the instability of the UNC and its predecessor parties is the divisive presence of Basdeo Panday in all such arrangements. Mr Panday can lay claim to having established and destroyed more political parties than anyone else in his almost 34 years in active politics, spanning from September 1976 when he became Opposition Leader to January this year when the party he founded rejected him. One of the questions that the electorate would be required to answer come May 24 is whether a UNC-led coalition government–without the coalition-destroying presence of Mr Panday–can hold together long enough to rule the country effectively, if elected.
Without attempting to prejudge that issue, it is a fact that the UNC-led coalition, as constituted at present, is an ambitious project which brings together parties that represent different interests. The UNC, whose base is among working class Indo-Trinidadians, leads a coalition comprising a Tobago party, a black empowerment party, a Marxist-flavoured "party," and a middle class, multi-racial party. Clearly, in a local context, for such an agglomeration to be successful, it must be led by people of great maturity and wisdom and who agree to abide by a well thought-out coalition agreement which provides built-in conflict resolution mechanisms and the appropriate checks and balances.
It remains to be seen whether the five leaders of the constituent parties of the UNC-led coalition have the requisite maturity and wisdom to hold an administration together and whether the process of coalition building has had enough time, and thought, to produce an agreement that can withstand irreconcilable differences. That being said, there is no international evidence that says that coalition parties are inherently unstable.�In fact, there are many countries that have institutionalised systems of coalition governments that have proven to be very successful.
In recent years, coalition governments have been part and parcel of the politics of countries as diverse as Turkey, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Austria, Italy, Japan, Israel and Switzerland. Most of these countries have centuries of history, high standards of living and dominance by a single ethnic group. But coalitions have also ruled very successfully in countries that are multi-racial, practise Westminster-type democracy and have economies that are developing–countries like ours, in other words. In Malaysia, the Barisan Nasional coalition (and its predecessor) has ruled for half a century and the country is now run by a coalition with over a dozen constituent members.
It would be an interesting irony if Malaysia–the location of the head office of the Sunway conglomerate made controversial by the Uff Commission of Enquiry–became the template for the UNC in the construction of a stable coalition in a multi-racial, developing, Westminster-type democracy.