The People’s Partnership experiment in democracy is over; they will not be contesting the 2020 general election. But there are embers from this democratic experiment that could spark serious democratic renewal if the lesson of valuing structural change for the purpose of creating a fairer democracy can be salvaged.
This is no small feat because the incentive structures of the first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system offer an intoxicating amount of inflated power that fuels the ego of those who govern. Well-intentioned reformers who mistake winning majorities with evidence that the people love them, inevitably fail to deliver the kind of changes that can prevent false majorities from forming in the first place.
What I mean by false majorities is a symptom of plurality-based FPTP system, shared by countries like Trinidad and Tobago, the UK and Canada. The winner of a given constituency is the person who gains the most votes, which sounds fair until you introduce multiple parties and realise that often those with the most votes could be scarcely 30 per cent of the popular vote. Yet that person is tasked with representing 100 per cent of the people in the constituency. Scaled to the national level, a party that receives less than 40 per cent of the popular vote ends up with a majority of seats, and thus becomes an elected “monarch” for five years, rendering the Opposition structurally unable to oppose anything the Government does not allow it to.
Changing that electoral system should have been a top priority of a "People's" Partnership that formed to avoid the very problem of vote splitting. Put plainly, in 2015 the PP acted like a party whose main interest was in re-election rather than in a limited and strategic partnership capable of changing the rules of the game for the betterment of the country’s democracy.
The promise of electoral reform should have been top of the agenda. It was part of the agenda, and the controversial method of run-off votes was the preferred choice of the Government. While this is an improvement in some respects over the plurality model shared by Trinidad and other Commonwealth states, there were many other options that might have been pursued.
As Hamid Ghany has explained in the Guardian and elsewhere, a suspicion of electoral reform and proportional representation (PR) in particular can be traced to PM Eric Williams’ personal contempt for PR. This kept PR off the table in the constitutional deliberations of 1976 and onwards. Williams, like all prime ministers whose personal interests are served by an FPTP system that delivers inflated majorities, could only stand to lose from improving the ability to translate voters’ desires into representatives in government. But where inflated majorities lose, democracy wins, because representatives are forced to negotiate.
In Canada, where I live and work, we are facing a contentious and tight election that will likely deliver a minority government on Monday. I have argued publicly that Canadians should study the People’s Partnership in Trinidad because the democratic experiment of opposition parties coming together ahead of the election to negotiate a common platform while maintaining their distinctiveness is exactly what Canada needs at this moment.
That kind of democratic deliberation creates the condition through which voters can carefully consider constructive policy options ahead of the poll rather than merely being passive recipients of whatever cobbled-together horse-trading follows the election of a minority Parliament. This puts voters in the driving seat to a greater extent and respects that their political views are complex, evolving, and never accurately captured by a single political party.
Before the PP formed ahead of the 2010 election, few would have expected that then-PM Manning’s government would have fallen. In an outcome that was hard-won through democratic deliberations that offered a fresh choice, voters delivered the PP government majority control, which gave smaller parties a chance to speak their views in the Parliament. It would never have been possible without that experiment in a People’s Partnership.
With this support, the PP accomplished much, but they failed in the most fundamental way: they did not change the structural unfairness of the electoral system. They introduced a form of PR at the local government level and although they passed important electoral reform measures, they did not take it to its national conclusion before the 2015 election.
Hindsight is 2020, and because of that, I flag two critical lessons for the next democratic partnership that will hopefully form before next year’s polls:
1.Commit to a one-term limit.
2.To resist the elixir of false power make ending the FPTP electoral system a core requirement before the 2025 election.
In Canada, we were promised that 2015 would be our last election under FPTP system, but intoxicated by majority power, Canadian PM Justin Trudeau abandoned that promise. His hubris will certainly cost him his majority government on Monday, and quite possibly his job as PM. The real question for both T&T and Canada is this: are parties up to the task of putting democracy ahead of self-interest? This is the lesson of 2015, and I hope that we have the courage to act on it in both of my countries.
Dr Ajay Parasram is assistant professor in the departments of International Development Studies and History as well as a Founding Fellow at the MacEachen Institute for Public Policy and Governance at Dalhousie University, Canada.