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Saturday, May 3, 2025

Fitch cuts British bond rating from AAA

by

20130421

LON­DON–Fitch Rat­ings on Fri­day stripped the UK of its cher­ished top AAA cred­it score, cit­ing a weak­er eco­nom­ic out­look that con­tin­ues to hin­der the coun­try in keep­ing con­trol of its debt.Fitch be­comes the sec­ond ma­jor rat­ings agency to down­grade its rat­ing for the UK to AA+.Though Fitch said the coun­try had fis­cal fi­nanc­ing flex­i­bil­i­ty helped by the strength of the pound, it warned of prob­lems ahead due to high­er-than-pro­ject­ed debt and deficits.

"The fis­cal space to ab­sorb fur­ther ad­verse eco­nom­ic and fi­nan­cial shocks is no longer con­sis­tent with a 'AAA' rat­ing," Fitch said in a state­ment.Britain's gov­ern­ment took the an­nounce­ment in stride and de­clared that the rat­ing was proof that the coun­try could not walk away from its trou­bles.It took strength in the fact that Fitch gave the coun­try a "sta­ble" out­look.

The British gov­ern­ment, which has long played on its AAA rat­ing as a sign of its eco­nom­ic might, has been pur­su­ing a harsh pro­gramme of spend­ing cuts and tax in­creas­es de­signed to re­duce the na­tion's hefty deficit, which Fitch put at 7.4 per cent of the coun­try's eco­nom­ic out­put.The UK is the third-largest econ­o­my in the 27-mem­ber Eu­ro­pean Union, af­ter Ger­many and France, with a gross do­mes­tic prod­uct of �1.4 tril­lion in 2012.

But the econ­o­my's growth has been flat-lin­ing. Fitch es­ti­mat­ed that the UK econ­o­my was not ex­pect­ed to reach its 2007 lev­el of re­al GDP un­til 2014, un­der­scor­ing the weak­ness of the re­cov­ery.This means that the UK econ­o­my can­not keep up with con­trol­ling its bal­loon­ing deficit.The Moody's In­vestors Ser­vice, an­oth­er rat­ing agency, in Feb­ru­ary al­so stripped Britain of its AAA grade, but Stan­dard & Poor's held steady.

A down­grade the­o­ret­i­cal­ly means that it will cost Britain more to sell bonds and fi­nance its debt.That would mean the gov­ern­ment would have to spend more mon­ey on debt ser­vic­ing, ex­ac­er­bat­ing the coun­try's bud­get prob­lems.Be­cause a rat­ing agency thinks it is riski­er to lend Britain mon­ey, in­vestors would nor­mal­ly de­mand a high­er re­turn to buy UK bonds.

But it doesn't al­ways turn out that way: Mar­kets may have al­ready cal­cu­lat­ed in those fac­tors when Moody's down­grad­ed the UK ear­li­er this year.

AP


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