The internet is the current backbone of the telecommunications industry of Trinidad and Tobago.
However, one industry expert has expressed concern that a slight drop in revenue from fixed-line internet subscriptions could signal major challenges for an industry that has been in consistent decline across most segments.
According to the Telecommunications Authority of Trinidad and Tobago (TATT) annual report for 2023, the telecommunications sector generated $4.2 billion of which the Internet market generated 53.6 per cent of sector revenues, while the second largest share, 24.7 per cent, came from the mobile voice market.
The internet market (including both mobile and fixed services) saw an increase in revenue from $2.244 billion in 2022 to $2.254 billion in 2023.
However apart from internet services, the industry largely saw drops in subscribers and revenue.
The report noted, “In 2023, the subscription-based markets, that is, the mobile voice, fixed voice, fixed internet, mobile internet and subscription TV markets, collectively amassed approximately 3.8 million subscriptions. Compared to 2022, this total represents a decrease of 43,100 subscriptions, or 1.1 per cent.
In a summary of the data in the report, TATT said, “With respect to the telecommunications and broadcasting industry, there have been significant transformations over the years, driven by regulatory shifts (the move towards market liberalisation), digitalisation and rapid technological advancements (from 2G to 3G, 4G LTE and 5G, the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence, etc.) and evolving trends in consumer demand (from declining demand for traditional voice services-only to increasing demand for internet-based applications). These trends are expected to continue shaping the domestic industry in 2024.”
The report continued, “In addition, domestic economic conditions, such as inter alia, the constrained availability of foreign exchange, alongside the surge in consumer demand for higher network speeds and increased data consumption (which have been largely fuelled by the proliferation of over-the-top services), have also influenced the market’s trajectory and has contributed to ongoing tariff increases observed across several sub-markets such as mobile voice services, Internet (fixed broadband and mobile data), subscription television, and bundled services.
“Simultaneously, operators, on account of these evolving dynamics, have provided expanded service terms, increased speed, limited and unlimited data plan options (in both the fixed and mobile markets), and zero-rated fixed voice plans, and have also provided customised services for vulnerable consumer groups including the elderly population.”
The report added, “Looking ahead, the telecommunications and broadcasting industry is expected to continue on its current trajectory. The demand for internet services is projected to sustain its upward momentum, as consumers increase their uptake of Internet-based applications.”
When asked about the findings in TATT’s report Bmobile’s acting CEO Kent Western said, “We’ve observed what is a global trend where rising mobile internet subscriptions are accompanied by declining revenues, driven by the shift towards more affordable data plans and the growing use of over-the-top services. TATT’s report reflects these evolving market dynamics, as consumers increasingly seek greater value.”
He continued, “This trend underscores the growing demand for data services among subscribers, which has informed TSTT’s commercial strategy over the past year. In response, we have remained committed to providing affordable mobile internet connectivity and delivering additional value-added benefits to meet this increased demand for data. We are focused on ensuring that all segments of our market can access and enjoy the benefits of enhanced digital communication. “
Western said TSTT, which is a publicly listed and majority state-owned, continued to offer services “to encourage data adoption among new and existing customers. These offerings are designed to showcase the benefits of increased connectivity, from improved access to information and services to greater opportunities for economic and social engagement.”
Western was positive concerning the growth of Amplia, TSTT’s internet and cable subsidiary, which he noted added 33,000 households in 2023. That was a 30 per cent increase in its customer base and an increase in revenue.
He said, “In 2024, Amplia continued to grow its reach by adding 27,000 more homes, with plans to keep expanding its footprint across Trinidad and Tobago.”
However, ICT expert Kwesi Prescod is not so optimistic as he noted the industry has been in decline for the past decade and there were signs that internet subscription base in T&T is being eroded.
TATT’s report stated, “Fixed internet revenues earned in 2023 amounted to $1.25 billion, reflecting a decrease of $3.63 million or 0.3 per cent.”
Prescod noted that while TATT viewed this slight decrease as a minor dip with the revenue expected to rebound in 2024, he told the Business Guardian that without some regulation changes, including some from TATT itself, the revenues could actually dip further.
“TATT based that off of a spot check. There’s a 0.3 per cent drop now, but I once did a trending analysis, and it showed that it stagnated a year before it started slowly to decline. So the question is, why is household penetration dropping? And it’s probably because people are dropping off the market because either prices are too expensive or they (people) have alternatives.”
He explained that based on a digital inclusion survey done by TATT, which sought to determine why certain households did not have internet or a broadband connection, price point was a major factor, but not the only one.
Prescod said the current rollout of TTWIFI, and more significantly the guidelines around its usage, may discourage some from getting packages at home as they are aware they can access broadband internet for free via that facility.
Prescod said the service was initially supposed to be available for a fixed period of time of 40 minutes, following which a cost would be attached to further usage.
This he explained would offset costs as it is still a service being provided by a telecommunications provider. However, Prescod said this commercial approach has not been implemented, despite it being widely available at several public locations including transportation hubs, schools, libraries and hospitals
“Which means internet is effectively free. But if you look at the TATT annual report, what is the only sector of the broadcasting or telecoms that is making money? Internet! So if internet is the only segment making money and then you’re making us give it away for free, how would I make money? If I don’t make money. How do I pay my employees? How do I pay my investors? How do I pay to build 5G networks?” said Prescod, who explained that this invariably leads to other internet packages offered to the public being subject to price increases.
In the past year, two of the country’s internet service providers Digicel and Flow have increased their prices while also upping their minimum base speed for internet packages. The cheapest internet-only package currently advertised on both providers’ websites starts at $299 and the lowest speed available at 200 Mb/s. Amplia, the third largest provider in the county has the base plan at $260, with the lowest speed available at 150 mb.
The only broadband internet packages available for $200 or less were bmobile’s 6mb LTE service, Airlink’s 50mb’s package and Green Dot’s 3mb and 10mb packages.
This was reflected in the TATT report which noted packages equal to or above 100 Mb/s category were the most common internet subscription at 71.1 per cent, while percentage of subscriptions in the 30 Mb/s to less than 100 Mb/s decreased from 18.2 per cent in 2022 to 8.6 per cent in 2023.
Slower packages such as 2 Mb/s to less than 10 Mb/s and 10 Mb/s to less than 30 Mb/s speed tiers held shares of 9.8 per cent and 9 per cent, respectively with the 256 kbit/s to less than 2 Mbit/s tier retained its position of having the smallest share of the residential broadband Internet market, with 1.5 per cent.