Yesterday's local government election brings to an end one of the most intense periods of democratic activity in this country's history.
The period of intense political activity began with the internal party elections of the United National Congress in January, which resulted in Mrs Kamla Persad-Bissessar sweeping aside Basdeo Panday, the founder of the UNC. Four months later, Prime Minister Patrick Manning, with close to three years left on his term of office, which began in November 2007, decided to call a general election. It's history that the People's National Movement was led into defeat by Mr Manning, resulting in the People's Partnership administration led by Mrs Persad-Bissessar, taking office with 29 constituencies.
Following the general election, the defeated PNM held an internal election with Keith Rowley emerging as the party's political leader, following his election as Leader of the Opposition. During her first address to Parliament as this country's leader, Mrs Persad-Bissessar announced that the long-overdue local government elections would have been held yesterday. The local government elections should signal the end of the electoral period and, with its dominance of the administration at both the central and local government levels assured, the People's Partnership should be in a position to settle down and govern the country.
The end of the electoral period will mean that there will be less need for political grandstanding aimed at gaining electoral advantage and greater concentration on crafting realistic policies. At some point, the Government will be required to make the hard choices between policies that will affect interest groups that have been key to the Partnership's electoral success. The next big task for the government will be the 2011 budget which is likely to be presented against a backdrop of a stagnant economy plagued by high inflation, declining tax revenues and heightened expectations of the People's Partnership to deliver. In the upcoming budget, the Government will strive to achieve something that very few economies in the world have been able to do: stimulate the economy while ensuring that the rate of inflation does not climb higher than the 13.7 per cent that the Central Bank reported last week.
And all of this in the context of a budget in which the expenditure is likely to exceed the revenue for a third occasion. The Government faces two significant and related challenges: charting a vision for the future which is aligned to that of the majority of people and finding some way to encourage the private sector, both local and foreign, to resume investment in the economy. On the issue of the vision for the future, the Government should consider setting medium-term fiscal targets which would outline the limits of expenditure for the next five years and proposals to ensure fiscal balance as soon as possible.
The Government also needs to look very carefully at the investment environment in this country for both energy and non-energy investors. It needs to ensure that all government agencies do everything possible to ensure that doing business in T&T becomes easier. This process of mitigating all aspects of the bureaucracy should be part of a larger plan aimed at encouraging new investment in the local economy. On Friday, the Central Bank reported that private sector credit had continued to contract against the background of weak domestic demand.
It estimated that up to May, the most recent month for which the information was available, on a year-on-year basis, borrowing by the private sector had declined for nine consecutive months. No economy can advance if its private sector is not making new investments.