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Thursday, April 3, 2025

2011–Tenth warmest year on record

by

20111129

Dur­ban, South Africa

Glob­al tem­per­a­tures this year are cur­rent­ly the tenth high­est on record and are high­er than any pre­vi­ous year with a La Niña event, which has a rel­a­tive cool­ing in­flu­ence, ac­cord­ing to lat­est da­ta pre­sent­ed yes­ter­day by the World Me­te­o­ro­log­i­cal Or­gan­i­sa­tion (WMO).All of the 13 warmest years have oc­curred in the 15 years since 1997. The ex­tent of Arc­tic sea ice in 2011 was the sec­ond low­est on record, and its vol­ume was the low­est.

These are some of the high­lights of the pro­vi­sion­al an­nu­al World Me­te­o­ro­log­i­cal Or­gan­i­sa­tion State­ment on the Sta­tus of the Glob­al Cli­mate, which gives a glob­al tem­per­a­ture as­sess­ment and a snap­shot of weath­er and cli­mate events around the world in 2011. The high­lights were re­leased on the sec­ond day of the 17th Con­fer­ence of the Par­ties to the Unit­ed Na­tions Frame­work Con­ven­tion on Cli­mate Change tak­ing place in Dur­ban, South Africa.

"Our role is to pro­vide the sci­en­tif­ic knowl­edge to in­form ac­tion by de­ci­sion-mak­ers. Our sci­ence is sol­id and it proves un­equiv­o­cal­ly that the world is warm­ing and that this warm­ing is due to hu­man ac­tiv­i­ties," said WMO Sec­re­tary-Gen­er­al Michel Jar­raud."Con­cen­tra­tions of green­house gas­es in the at­mos­phere have reached new highs. They are very rapid­ly ap­proach­ing lev­els con­sis­tent with a 2-2.4 de­gree Centi­grade rise in av­er­age glob­al tem­per­a­tures which sci­en­tists be­lieve could trig­ger far-reach­ing and ir­re­versible changes in our Earth, bios­phere and oceans," he said.

The WMO's pro­vi­sion­al state­ment es­ti­mat­ed the glob­al com­bined sea sur­face and land sur­face air tem­per­a­ture for 2011 (Jan­u­ary–Oc­to­ber) at 0.41°C ± 0.11°C (0.74°F ± 0.20°F) above the 1961–1990 an­nu­al av­er­age of 14.00°C/57.2°F, ac­cord­ing to the pro­vi­sion­al state­ment. This is the tenth warmest year since the start of records in 1850.The 2002-2011 pe­ri­od equals 2001-2010 as the warmest decade on record, 0.46°C above the long-term av­er­age.

Mean­while, Ger­man­watch, which has been pub­lish­ing Glob­al Cli­mate Risk In­dex (CRI) for the past sev­en years, said Pak­istan and Guatemala were the coun­tries most­ly hit by ex­treme weath­er such as flood­ing and storms in 2010."Both ex­tra­or­di­nary weath­er ex­tremes in 2010 left their foot­print in this year's Cli­mate Risk In­dex," said Sven Harmel­ing, Team Leader In­ter­na­tion­al Cli­mate Pol­i­cy at Ger­man­watch and the in­dex's au­thor."More than 1500 peo­ple died in Pak­istan af­ter flood­ing across the coun­try, caus­ing dam­ages of sev­er­al bil­lion dol­lars. These loss­es moved Pak­istan on top of the rank­ing.

"A heat wave in Rus­sia has caused more than 50,000 deaths. Many parts of the coun­try were set in flames. This re­sults in Rus­sia rank­ing fourth in the In­dex." Guatemala and Colom­bia ranked sec­ond and third in 2010 af­ter be­ing hit by storms and flood­ing.Even though the analy­sis of dam­ages and deaths can­not yet lead to con­clu­sions on the in­flu­ence of cli­mate change at these events, it does pro­vide a sense of their vul­ner­a­bil­i­ty to cli­mate change, said Harmel­ing."The find­ings can be seen as a warn­ing sig­nal to be bet­ter pre­pared for a high­er lev­el of ex­treme weath­er events. To be pre­pared for the fu­ture, we need to un­der­stand our past's lec­tures.

"Un­for­tu­nate­ly, the cur­rent in­ad­e­quate promis­es of the world's gov­ern­ments to fight cli­mate change will push our lim­its of prepar­ing for dis­as­ters and adap­ta­tion. Dur­ban's cli­mate sum­mit will al­so be de­ci­sive for nec­es­sary com­mit­ments made by all gov­ern­ments to re­verse the glob­al emis­sions trend," he said.From 1991 to 2010, there were 710,000 deaths caused by weath­er ex­tremes, re­sult­ing in more than US$2.3 tril­lion in dam­age.All of the top ten coun­tries that have been most­ly hit by weath­er ex­tremes dur­ing the past 20 years were de­vel­op­ing coun­tries. Those in­clude Bangladesh, Myan­mar and Hon­duras.


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