NY Stock Exchange board member advises:

Cut ties with US dollar

Published: 26 Nov 2009

Rahul Bajaj

Nations of the world are being advised to stop pegging their currencies to the US dollar.

The advice came yesterday from Rahul Bajaj, a leading Indian industrialist who sits on the board of the New York Stock Exchange and is also on the board of the Harvard School of Business. Bajaj, who is also a director on the Commonwealth Business Council, was however, unable to pinpoint a currency which could replace the US dollar, although he did mention the German mark as being in the running. But Bajaj said severing ties with the US dollar was not an “immediate solution,” but one the world should look carefully at. The G 20 countries were moving in that direction, and as recently as November 7 when their finance ministers met in London that was the direction that they were considering, Bajaj warned.

His comments came during a session of the business forum in Port-of-Spain that is a forerunner to this weekend’s Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM). The session entitled New Global Financial Structure: Instruments of Growth was held aboard the cruise liner Serenade of the Seas in the Port-of-Spain harbour and attended by scores of leading economists and business personalities from the Commonwealth. It was chaired by National Insurance Board and Unit Trust executive, Ruben McSween and other top-flight panellists, including Prof Compton Bourne who is head of the Caribbean Development Bank; Pascal Dozie, chairman of the Diamond Group of Nigeria and Srinivas Stridhar who is chairman of a State-owned bank in India that has US$35 billion in assets at 3,500 branches.

Bajaj, who is an Indian MP and chairman of the Bajaj Auto Group, the leading two and three-wheel vehicle manufacturer in India, pointed to the continued depreciation of the US dollar as well as the trillions of dollars in debt that is bogging down that country as two reasons for severing the pegging tie. Bajaj was described as the “doyen” of Indian industry by Stridhar and his outspoken assessment of the fate of the US dollar was echoed by Bourne, a former UWI, St Augustine, principal who is an emeritus economics professor.

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Did the Guardian editors

Did the Guardian editors care to check any of Mr. Bajaj's background and credentials? There is no Rahul Bajaj on the Board of Directors of the New York Stock Exchange. As far as replacing the US Dollar by the German Mark goes - the German Mark no longer exists!!! In what decade was this interview done?

OMG! Is this a photo from a

OMG! Is this a photo from a horror movie? This is one scary looking dude. And he's an expert in finance and not scaring little kids and old people? Come on now Guardian, please be more responsible. Kids read the papers too you know.

They got the photo wrong

They got the photo wrong too...http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rahul_Bajaj

That is not Rahul Bajaj. 1.

That is not Rahul Bajaj.

1. That is not a picture of Rahul Bajaj.
2. He is not on the Board of Harvard School of Business.
3. Hi not on the board of The New York Stock Exchange.
4. Germany uses the Euro.
5. The list goes on and on.

This is some con man who will take Compton Bourne and The Caribbean Development bank for millions.

Very careless reporting

Very careless reporting given that a simple Google search was enough to ascertain the erroneous nature of this article.

Agreed - this is not a photo

Agreed - this is not a photo of the Indian MP - this is one scary looking dude !!

By now, business reporters (and the planet in general) should be well aware that the German Mark was replaced by the Euro many years ago. Nothing concreete to offer in this report. Despite what we may all feel about being pegged to the US dollar, this 'interviewee' isn't offering anything concrete at such a major summit.

He does not deserve the forum he has been provided.

TOTAL HOGWASH This statement

TOTAL HOGWASH

This statement is very very stupied.
They attempted to do this before and failed miserably.
The US dollar is still the strongest dollar of global trade.

With regards the US Economic system and its debt, the US remains the world's largest economy at $14 trillion per annum well beyond second place Japan . Our real growth is projected at aprox 2.4% to 4.5% per annum over the next 3 years with inflation remaining at record lows. Our current debt load is approx 65.5% of GDP, the same as all Western Nations and lower when compared to the country in the years immediately following the Civil War and southern Reconstruction and WWII and the Marshall Plan to rebuild Europe . In both cases total debt was equal to 100% of GDP; during both events the US economy emerged stronger and more competitive in the years following Reconstruction in the 1870's and the 1950's.

Historical precedent has shown that the dynamic nature of the US economy has allowed it to not only literally spend its way out of a recession but also recover faster and resume its impressive growth rates especially as the mindset has always been reinvestment in its economy to ensure it stays a world leader.

In many ways what is occurring now reflects what occurred during the Great Depression of the 1930's where Federal deficit spending almost tripled under FDR while losses became socialized as loans held by weakened banks were bought by the Federal Government to ensure the strength of the nation's financial system while investments were made to ensure its manufacturing sector followed a total assembly line model.

During the early to mid 1930's the US economy rebounded, especially with public works projects enacted by the government to ensure unemployment
t levels were brought down, such as the building of the Hoover Dam. By the end of the 1930's the US was in full recovery and WWII ensured that it accelerated as the US converted to a wartime economy. A good example of US economic adaptability was Jeep production where by the end of WWII a Jeep rolled off the assembly line every 8 minutes.

More importantly though is that by the early 1940's US GDP rose and its debt fell and those formally toxic assets became valuable pieces of real estate while its financial system was even stronger than it was a few years before. Following the Marshall Plan in the late 40's debt grew again; it was then followed by the building of the Turnpike and Interstate systems here in the US in the early 50's, as part of the Government's reinvestment in its transportation system to ensure speed of delivery of goods and services.

Out of this came record growth and prosperity till the late 1970's with the Stagflation of the US economy due to the increase in Oil prices. Reagan era deficit spending and projects such as SDI, focused primarily on the manufacturing sector in order to convert it to a less labor intensive and more technology based model, lead to impressive growth rates till the Savings and Loan's crisis of the late 1980's which carried over to an early 1990's recession followed again by tremendous growth with Technology centered investments by the government.
During this phase things such as the military-based Intranet was made public and called the Internet, along with over 1,000 other formally military and or NASA technologies were put in the public domain, from Mylar balloons to night vision goggles.
Either way as you can see what occurred in the past, each time the US spent its way out of deficits, shored up its financial and manufacturing sectors, always used large government building and spending projects to prevent high unemployment as well as make huge investments in its economy.
So what is occurring now, we have socialized losses and in so doing shored up our banks and manufacturing sector buy buying toxic assets or letting companies, such as GM file for bankruptcy so that they were reorganize, streamline and remake themselves into a more competitive company. Our banking and insurance sectors are now back to profitability, such as Goldman Sach's second quarter billion dollar profit.

All of this ensures that our economy bottomed out in June and we now expect this quarter to be our first positive quarter(1.5% projected growth) compared to the past 4 negative quarters. Infrastructure investments have begun for bridges across the US . Unemployed are now being retrained and the government has begun making massive investments in Green Technologies, which it views as our future economic growth engine and also insulate the US from wild International Oil Fluctuations.

Current projections are that within 5 to 10 years we will finally end the importation of foreign oil as battery technology increases further. The government involvement in the big 3 automakers is ensuring this as we are now expecting greater fuel economy for all new models and the Chevrolet Volt and its impressive battery technology that gives it over 200 miles per gallon comes out in 2010. Oil imports in 2010 is also projected to remain at previous year's levels for the first time in US history.

Either way based on all of this, we expect impressive growth rates to resume during the 2010's, real estate prices we expect to begin to increase back to mid 2000"s levels within the next 5 to 7 years. Consumer spending and growth we expect to slowly begin to increase over the next 2 quarters, while war spending is expected to decrease as troop levels continue to fall on the Iraq drawdown.

Government spending will remain high as they continue to shore up the economy under the Economic Recovery Act.

This interview's headline is very misleading, similar to the one, where Mr. Manning said TNT is doing better than the US.

OMG It's like comparing apples to rotten onions....

That's a lot to digest,

That's a lot to digest, dareb. Thanks much. I haven't an opinion on this yet, but am looking for more info. Two questions for you.

1) Why is the euro, used by multiple countries, not a better currency to be tied to, since the underlying risk is spread wider than the US?

2) Why should the T&T dollar be tied to a single currency anyway? Why not invest in a basket of currencies to spread the risk?

Anyone else with good economics understanding, feel free to respond.

Btw, I also echo the comments above regarding the dodgy 'facts' in the above article. Guardian - the Internet can be your friend. If the guy you quoted is not the real Rahul Bajaj, does this mean we have impostors attending the CHOGM?

www.knowtnt.com

Edmund.... Europe might be a

Edmund....

Europe might be a nice place to live, with a lot of history and architectural building designs. It is ideal for Romance and Tourists. But Europe really does'nt offer any sort of Global Trade to the rest of the World.

The TT dollar is not as strong to be traded internationally against other currencies. The TT dollar float is not an actual float either. The Government is really subsidising or propping up the TT dollar from sliding.

At this point in time even though the USD dollar is weak internationally, which BTW is deliberate so as to encourage investing and spending in the US. The TT dollar however is even weaker, since there remains a lot of stree and pressure on the TT dollar.

Edmund the US dollar is still the Global dollar of trade. The US Federal Reserve has never missed a debt payment. And should they change the US dollar as the dollar of global trade, the world would have taken 10,000 steps backwards. Since we would have to resort to the ancient Barter Syatem....

Visit the UN website especially unpri.org to just get a little more on the "Principles of responsible Investing"

Cheers
DR

Here's the link to an

Here's the link to an interesting article by one of my favorite journalist. This was written in November of 2007.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/foreign-policy/news/article.cfm?c_id=209&objec...

Don't get me wrong Mr

Don't get me wrong Mr Logic.
I'm not saying that the US dollar is the strongest currency in the world. What I am saying is try using another and see what will happen.

It has been tried in the past and it failed miserably.
From the article in the herald, I have friends who recently visited the TAj Mahal in India and they paid in US dollars with little or no difficulty at all....

cheers
dr

I'm not sure I follow your

I'm not sure I follow your thinking and if you've fully answered my questions.

First, some of what you wrote sounds unnecessarily alarmist - why would changing from the USD to another currency lead us back to bartering?

The USD goes up and down, just like the other currencies. I disagree that Europe doesn't offer much in terms of trade. The past year hasn't been good for the EU27 countries (Jan-Sep 2009 exports down by 19% and there's a deficit of EUR91.1 bn) but the EA16 had a trade surplus to Sep 2009 of EUR3.7 bn. US trade deficit for Jan-Sep 2009 is US$275 bn. So I don't see such a vast difference in terms of trade between US and Europe.

I take your points about the US not missing a debt payment as a significant positive. The US has been one of the strongest economies historically. However, who's to say that China or Brazil won't top it in the future, and if that happens, why shouldn't countries choose to switch their dirty-float from the USD to the yuan renminbi or real?

My original questions had to do with the tying of the TTD to the USD. If the GOTT wishes to continue to tie the TTD to another currency in the form of a dirty float, as it currently does to the USD, I was just wondering why tying to euro won't be a better option, if it must be tied to a single currency, and also why shouldn't/couldn't it be tied to a mix of currencies? Or am I confusing tying the currency for valuation purposes with T&T Central Bank maintaining our reserves in multiple currencies to manage the risk?

This is just a thought exercise - I fully understand that the financial market prefers stability above all else, so replacing the USD as a foundation currency is unlikely. I'm just challenging the thinking that it can't be done.

Thanks much.

www.knowtnt.com

Yeah !!! that's was in the

Yeah !!! that's was in the past;and don't forget it was really WWII that pull you out of the great depression the war effort was responsible for your manufacturing base thriving. I do have the answer to turn around the U.S economy before Obama leaves office; Cut military spending by 60% and increase taxes by 15% across the board also a federal VAT tax and close all tax loopholes.

Yes chase because increasing

Yes chase because increasing taxes always increases government revenues. The law of hydraulics states the greater the pressure the greater the leak. This applies to people and paying taxes.

Chase I think you dont

Chase I think you dont really understand the US, cutting military spending 60% in the middle of 2 wars as part of the global war on terror would never happen it would cause more unemployment you have almost 2 million people in the armed forces of the US not to mention the military industrial complex where all those millions of people who work for companies that manufacture and provide goods and services for the US military, and then you have to consider those military bases and companies that are part of the military industrial complex are spread all over the US so therefor no congressman or senator in their right mind is going to vote to cut military spending 60% where currently 10.2% unemployment or 15 million people currently unemployed especially if those military bases or companies are located in their state or congressional district that would be political suicide.
As for imposing a 15% VAT that would never happen anybody voting for that would be out of a job next election look at what happened in the governors races in Virginia and New Jersey on Nov 3rd 2009 where the democrat governor of New Jersey who raised taxes lost to a republican in a traditionally democratic state thats like UNC winning a seat in lavantille, then the same day a democrat that talked raising taxes lost to a republican that campaigned on lower taxes and pro business Curtiss747

This is a classic example of

This is a classic example of someone that has no pride in his profession or journalistic integrity; please do proper research on an article before putting it to print. HELLO!!! where is the Editor
, do your job.

Dareb one point you forgot

Dareb one point you forgot to mention is that the US dollar has lost over 90% of its value since the 19th century due to those same economic principles of spending to find its way out of recession.

Another thing check your figures on M2 money supply expansion. Largest increase in history, including the Great Depression. When the velocity of money increases due to lax bank lending, which will return as the American greed engine gets turning again, the US dollar will see hyper inflation. If the policy of printing money were a solid one Argentina and Zimbabwe would own the world.

Unfortunately they are no right decisions for the US Fed to make, the time for right decisions was ten years ago. What has to be ensured is that monetary policy stays one step ahead of inflation.

Another point that needs to be noted the US current deficit is not going to be reduced by the introduction of green energy, batteries and other key parts will be manufactured somewhere else in the world. At some point they have to pay the piper. I also wonder about this green energy push, why are the US consistently increasing their Strategic Petroleum Reserve if they are going green.

TAKE REPORTS WITH A PINCH OF

TAKE REPORTS WITH A PINCH OF SALT -

Especially reports about UNC.

Another example for

Another example for unprofessional journalism TYPICAL for ALL Trinidadian newspapers.

Before you run a story at

Before you run a story at least do some research,or google!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! and that is not a pictureof him....

Rahul Bajaj
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Rahul Bajaj, Chairman of Bajaj Auto
Born June 10, 1938 (1938-06-10) (age 71)
Bengal Presidency, British India
Residence Pune, India
Nationality Indian
Occupation Industrialist & Politician
Net worth ▲ US$1.1 billion (as of May 2008 [1])

Rahul Bajaj is a prominent Indian businessman. He comes from the business house started by Jamnalal Bajaj. The US$ 1.32 Billion Bajaj Auto is his flagship company. He was awarded the Padma Bhushan in 2001.

His net worth is estimated to be at US$ 1.1 Billion. He was listed twentieth on the Forbes India's Richest 40 list of people.

He is an alumnus of Harvard Business School in USA, St. Stephen's College, Delhi, Government Law College, Mumbai and Cathedral and John Connon School.

He has one brother, Shishir Bajaj, with whom there was a recent business settlement. He has 3 cousins, Shekhar, Madhur and Niraj together with whom he controls the Bajaj Group of companies. Also, he has two sons Rajiv & Sanjiv and a daughter, Sunaina Kejriwal.

Rahul Bajaj is an alumnus of Harvard, St. Stephen's and Cathedral. He took over the reins of Bajaj Group in 1965. Under his stewardship, the turnover of the Bajaj Auto the flagship company has risen from Rs.72 million to Rs.46.16 billion. Rahul Bajaj created one of India's best companies in the difficult days of the licence-permit raj. He established factories at Akurdi and Waluj. In 1980s Bajaj Auto was top scooter producer in India and its Chetak brand had a 10-year waiting period.

Personal life
His sons Rajiv Bajaj and Sanjiv Bajaj are involved in the management of his companies. His daughter Sunaina Kejriwal is married to Manish Kejriwal who heads Temasek India.[2][3]

Last year, he did business settlement with his brother Shishir Bajaj. His 3 cousins, Shekhar, Madhur and Niraj assist him in controlling the Bajaj Group of companies. His two sons Rajiv & Sanjiv Bajaj are active in Bajaj Auto & Bajaj Finserv companies. His daughter, Sunaina Kejriwal, married to Manish Kejriwal who heads Temasek India.

[edit] References
1.^ The World's Billionaires - Forbes Magazine
2.^ Executives to look forward to
3.^ Intervisdsadasew with Manish Kejriwal

buttafly001 why yuh doh ask

buttafly001 why yuh doh ask de am Guardian of de am "yuh eh see" fuh ah job dey FACT checking? if dat doh wuk, ask Mr Senile Billionaire Rahul Bajaj fuh ah lil wuk in Bihar fixing dem 3 wheel car tire?

Somebody should fire Peter

Somebody should fire Peter Balroop! the Guardian has fallen very hard ever since Panday FORCED the paper to fire its NON INDIAN editor.

AND WHO FORCE

AND WHO FORCE -

Umbala to resign from PNM Lee Singh Station. Who force Lee Sing to fire the boys from Lee Sing station when the PM barged in. I think they were all Africans.

Since Manning is the

Since Manning is the chairman of CHOGM, he could take the opportunity to promote T&T as the financial capital of the world, apart from the world capital of opera houses and beautiful women. He's already got Hart to build the building, now it's time for him to drum up the business and get it tenanted. And as he is at it, he could suggest that the$TT replace the US$ as the international currency.

When John Humphrey was minister of Planning in 1986, he wanted to rename the $tt as the Trinity. Why not rename it as the Manning and put his portrait on all demoninations of the national currency?

Since Manning is the

Since Manning is the chairman of CHOGM, he could take the opportunity to promote T&T as the financial capital of the world, apart from the world capital of opera houses and beautiful women. He's already got Hart to build the building, now it's time for him to drum up the business and get it tenanted. And as he is at it, he could suggest that the$TT replace the US$ as the international currency.

When John Humphrey was minister of Planning in 1986, he wanted to rename the $tt as the Trinity. Why not rename it as the Manning and put his portrait on all demoninations of the national currency?

Mike Samuel, wha' all yuh

Mike Samuel, wha' all yuh wanna fire Peter for?
Headline only missing a question mark. Its a rhetorical headline.
Before I sound like if I is Peter girlfriend, let me thank dareb for his lesson in US economic history. So, guardian internet manager, who dat man is?

Where is the Trinidad

Where is the Trinidad Guardian's official response to this nonsensical reporting? Or is it like other things going to be ignored and brushed under the carpet?

 
 

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