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Friday, March 7, 2025

UWI poll predicts coalition win

by

20100507

These re­sults are from a na­tion­wide sur­vey on cur­rent is­sues con­duct­ed by the ANSA McAL Psy­cho­log­i­cal Re­search Cen­tre, Uni­ver­si­ty of the West In­dies, St Au­gus­tine for the Trinidad Guardian. The main in­ten­tion of this sur­vey is to as­sess pop­u­lar opin­ion on a num­ber of ma­jor is­sues. A rep­re­sen­ta­tive ran­dom sam­ple of 503 re­spon­dents com­prised peo­ple 18 years and over with 37 per cent Afro-Trinida­di­ans, 41 per cent In­do-Trinida­di­ans, 21 per cent Mixed per­sons and one per cent Oth­er. The sam­ple con­sist­ed of 48 per cent males. Re­spon­dents were se­lect­ed us­ing the Ran­dom Dig­it Di­alling Method. The mar­gin of er­ror is plus or mi­nus 4 per cent. This poll was su­per­vised by Dr Derek Chadee, Man­ag­er, ANSA McAL Psy­cho­log­i­cal Re­search Cen­tre and Se­nior Lec­tur­er, De­part­ment of Be­hav­iour­al Sci­ences, Uni­ver­si­ty of the West In­dies, St Au­gus­tine.

Do you think that the Coali­tion (UNC/COP/oth­er groups) would win the up­com­ing gen­er­al elec­tions or would the PNM?

�2 UNC Coali­tion–53%

�2 PNM–17%

�2 Don't know–30%

With ref­er­ence to eth­nic­i­ty, In­do-Trinida­di­ans were most like­ly to state "UNC Coali­tion." Pre­cise­ly, 77per cent of In­do-Trinida­di­ans, 45 per cent Mixed and 30 per cent Afro-Trinida­di­ans in­di­cat­ed "UNC Coali­tion." Afro-Trinida­di­an (29 per cent) per­sons were more like­ly to state "PNM" than both Mixed (21 per cent) and In­do-Trinida­di­an (four per cent) per­sons. Sim­i­lar­ly, 41 per cent of Afro-Trinida­di­an, 33 per cent Mixed and 19 per cent In­do-Trinida­di­an per­sons stat­ed "don't know."

In ex­am­in­ing sex, min­i­mal dif­fer­ences were not­ed be­tween males and fe­males. Males (55 per cent) were slight­ly more like­ly to state "UNC Coali­tion" than fe­males (52 per cent). Sim­i­lar­ly males (17 per cent) were more like­ly to state "PNM" than fe­males (16 per cent). Fe­male (32 per cent) re­spon­dents how­ev­er, were more like­ly to state "don't know" than their male (28 cent) coun­ter­parts.

Do you think that the Coali­tion (UNC/COP/oth­er groups) would ef­fec­tive­ly man­age the af­fairs of this coun­try?

�2 Yes–51%

�2 No–21%

�2 Don't know–28%

With ref­er­ence to eth­nic­i­ty, In­do-Trinida­di­an per­sons were most like­ly to state "yes." Specif­i­cal­ly, 75 per cent of In­do-Trinida­di­an, 43 per cent Mixed and 29 per cent Afro-Trinida­di­an per­sons stat­ed "yes." Afro-Trinida­di­an (37 per cent) peo­ple were more like­ly to re­spond "no" than Mixed (26 per cent) and In­do-Trinida­di­an (four per cent) peo­ple. Sim­i­lar­ly, Afro-Trinida­di­an per­sons had a greater ten­den­cy to state "don't know" than the oth­er eth­nic groups. Pre­cise­ly, 35 per cent of Afro-Trinida­di­an, 32 per cent Mixed and 21 per cent In­do-Trinida­di­an per­sons stat­ed "don't know".

In analysing sex, slight dif­fer­ences were not­ed be­tween the sex­es. Specif­i­cal­ly, 54 per cent of males and 49 per cent of fe­males stat­ed "yes." Fe­males were more like­ly to re­spond "no."

Pre­cise­ly, 24 per cent of fe­males and 18 per cent of males re­spond­ed "no." Lit­tle dif­fer­ence was ob­served be­tween the sex­es in stat­ing "don't know." Specif­i­cal­ly, 28 per cent of males and 27 per cent of fe­males stat­ed "don't know."

In as­sess­ing age, the 41 to 50 age group was most like­ly to re­spond "yes." Specif­i­cal­ly 57 per cent of the 41 to 50, 54 per cent 51 plus, 47 per cent 18 to 30 and 47 per cent 31 to 40 stat­ed "yes." The 18 to 30 (27 per cent) age group was much more like­ly than the 41 to 50 (11 per cent) to state "no."

Do you think that the Coali­tion (UNC/COP/ oth­er groups) would form a sta­ble Gov­ern­ment

(with­out splits in coali­tion)?

�2 Yes–46%

�2 No–27%

�2 Don't know–27%

With ref­er­ence to eth­nic­i­ty, In­do-Trinida­di­an peo­ple were the most like­ly to state "yes." More pre­cise­ly, 70 per cent of In­do-Trinida­di­an, 36 per cent Mixed and 23 per cent Afro-Trinida­di­an per­sons stat­ed "yes."

Afro-Trinida­di­ans (45 per cent) were no­tice­ably more like­ly to state "no" than Mixed (32 per cent) and In­do-Trinida­di­an (eight per cent) peo­ple. Sim­i­lar­ly, Mixed (33 per cent) peo­ple had a slight­ly greater ten­den­cy than Afro-Trinida­di­ans (32 per cent) and In­do-Trinida­di­ans (22 per cent) to state "don't know." This dis­played once more that there is a high lev­el of in­de­ci­sion among Afro-Trinida­di­an and Mixed per­sons with re­gard to the "UNC Coali­tion."

In ex­am­in­ing sex, mi­nor dif­fer­ences were ob­served among the sex­es. Males (50 per cent) had a greater ten­den­cy than fe­males (42 per cent) to re­spond "yes." Fe­males were more like­ly to state "no." Specif­i­cal­ly, 30 per cent of fe­males and 23 per cent of males re­spond­ed "no." Sim­i­lar­ly, 28 per cent of fe­males and 27 per cent of males stat­ed "don't know."


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