One of the big challenges that the working people of this country face is the rising cost of living at a time when T&T's economic circumstances–as a result of prices of petrochemical exports that are
volatile and lower in total than two years ago–require that employers maintain some control over their labour costs.
The rising cost of living comes at a time when incomes are being compressed. This equals a decline in the standard of living of
thousands of people in this country because the fact is that the higher inflation rate comes at a time when the unemployment rate in T&T increased from 5.1 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009 to 6.7 per cent in the first quarter of 2010–mainly as a result
of the slowdown in construction.
At the end of last month, the Central Bank reported that the cost of living increased by 16.2 per cent in the 12 months to August
from 14.1 per cent in July. A significant contributory factor to an inflation rate that is trending upward, at what the Central Bank
says is the fastest rate since November 1983, almost 27 years ago, is the fact that food prices increased by 39.1 per cent in August
on a year-on-year basis.
It is the nature of inflation driven by higher food prices that it affects workers at the lower end of the income spectrum much more than those at the upper end of the income spectrum. This is because those at the lower end a higher percentage of their incomes on food than those at the upper end.
The picture, therefore, is that a large number of lower-income workers are facing rapidly rising food prices at a time when
there are fewer job available. One of the measures that the Government has put in place to address the pain felt by
lower-income citizens is the proposal, outlined by Minister of Labour Errol Mc Leod in his contribution to the 2011 budget, that
the minimum wage be increased from $9 to $12.50 an hour. This will affect relatively few workers as, according to Mr Mc Leod, most workers in this country already earn more than $9 an hour. But increasing the minimum wage may also put upward pressure
on wages at the lower level which may bring some relief to those who have been ravaged by spiralling food prices.
While increasing the minimum wage represents some relief, the Government needs to do more to impact food prices so that if in
the future we experience a year in which there is both a withering drought and a devastating flood, the country is not impacted by food price increases of nearly 40 per cent. This is going to be a difficult task and one that will not be achieved overnight.
One of the measures that governments in a situation like this could take is to lower tariffs on imported food. But such tariffs have already been significantly eliminate in this country and many food items have also been exempted from the Value Added Tax. The one main area that the Government can focus on is increasing local food production by increasing the entire gamut of assistance to the agricultural sector. Increasing agricultural incomes is one
sure way that the Government can encourage an increase in agricultural production which is likely to cause lower food prices
over the medium term.
While the 2011 budget does not offer the agricultural sector much in the way of increased assistance, given the inflation statistics outlined by the Central Bank, it is expected that the Government will ramp up contributions to an agricultural revolution in T&T in the years to come.