With each passing day, the size of the US military presence in the Caribbean and its actions belie its stated objective of combating drug trafficking and dismantling transnational criminal organisations, with a specific focus on countering “narco-terrorism” in the region.
While Venezuela may serve as a conduit for cocaine coming from Colombia and Peru, it is not a source of cocaine and has no production capacity. Although maritime routes are important for drugs like cocaine, Congressional Research estimates that 95 per cent of all cocaine entering the US comes through Mexico or its territorial waters on the Pacific side. The vessels destroyed in the Caribbean Sea are primarily small fishing boats that cannot reach the US.
On Friday, the New York Times reported that satellite imagery shows the US has been routinely positioning warships near Venezuela’s coast, far from the main drug-smuggling routes. This suggests that the military buildup is more about applying pressure on Venezuela than fighting the drug trade, and that the destruction of alleged drug traffickers’ vessels is a calculated show of strength aimed at intimidating Venezuela. This, in turn, raises risks for Trinidad and Tobago, as Venezuela has successfully cultivated alliances with US adversaries.
Destroying the foot soldiers who crew these vessels amounts to a mere short-term disruption—a temporary glitch in the supply chain that will likely cause a spike in cocaine street prices and increased competition for limited supplies. The more significant production centres in South America remain undisturbed. The campaign, as currently structured, is incapable of fulfilling its stated objectives of combating drug trafficking or narco-terrorism, and traffickers will adapt if there is a lucrative US market.
Our Prime Minister has publicly endorsed US military actions in the Caribbean as an important step in the anti-crime fight on land and at sea. This approach is complemented by the promotion of the Home Invasion (Self Defence and Defence of Property) Bill as evidence that the government is committed to national security and the defence of individual rights. However, these measures do not address the underlying crime situation.
We are in a State of Emergency of questionable efficacy. While it may have temporarily reduced the murder rate, the spate of killings this month suggests that any reduction was only a temporary lull, not a permanent fix. The daring daylight robbery on a maxi taxi in Arouca last week demonstrates that such crimes are routine. The driver remained unflappable, keeping calm and carrying on, highlighting the persistence of criminal activity.
Our crime statistics suggest that criminals face a low probability of apprehension, with a detection rate of just 33 per cent, an even lower conviction rate, and prolonged delays in the court system.
The Government cannot hide behind US quasi-drug enforcement actions. The UK, the US’s closest ally, has distanced itself from military action in the Caribbean, suspending specific intelligence-sharing arrangements related to suspected drug trafficking, unwilling to be complicit in operations it considers illegal. France, through its Foreign Affairs Minister, has explicitly criticised the US strikes on alleged drug boats, asserting that these actions breed instability and violate international law.
The US has no jurisdiction in solving our crime situation or addressing the drug transhipment problem. We cannot merely cling to the proverbial US coattails. It is our responsibility to reform our institutional arrangements if they are failing to fulfil their mission.
