Election campaigns are not beauty parades. Electors do not often cast their vote as a thank you or to support the better outfitted. The prevailing view is that citizens vote to reject unwelcome policies or because they are upset over the incumbents’ performance. It is often emotion—not sober, rational calculation—that serves as the main guiding factor. The campaign speeches need some modicum of sense and pragmatism, even if politicians also play on emotional factors.
Incumbency may bring access to state resources, which the Opposition is unlikely to have. But it also carries the burden of defending a track record. Opposition parties can promise anything. The incumbents must defend their record and give credible reasons to show the possibility of improvement.
The nation faces economic, social and institutional challenges. The specific issues affecting each area are interrelated, and they require a coherent, calibrated and coordinated suite of policies to enable the country to achieve progress. Every political party and every contestant is expected to demonstrate competencies to address the challenges of office.
The economy has been in a depression for the last ten years. Government expenditures have exceeded revenue, resulting in deficits financed by borrowing in domestic and foreign markets. Even with some measure of fiscal discipline, the IMF’s medium-term projection is for continuing fiscal deficits. This is due to declining natural gas production, which affects plant productivity and the amount of LNG and petrochemicals produced.
The non-energy sector has not been strong enough to compensate for the decline, and diversification into new export areas or import substitution has been slow. Falling export volumes mean lower foreign exchange earnings and foreign exchange scarcity, making it more difficult to invest in new areas.
How will the private sector be encouraged to seize new opportunities and new export markets? How should the country respond to the changing world trade environment?
The social problems are diverse but impact every area. The crime scourge seems unresolvable with or without a State of Emergency. The emergency powers have only reduced the crime numbers temporarily. Realistically, once the State of Emergency is lifted, we can expect that the statistics will revert to the trend line. What should be done to achieve better results? How do we improve the performance of the TTPS and organisational discipline? What interventions are required to improve its administrative structures, which are vital to enhancing performance at every level?
How can the justice system be improved to ensure that prisoners are not subject to unconscionable delays, deprived of their liberty and their day in court for years? How do we improve the operations of the public service and make it a more fit-for-purpose organisation where efficiency is praised for its own sake?
These are the matters that our politicians should be addressing on the platform as they prepare themselves and the country for their time in office. What are the priorities and the plans for the country? Instead, the electorate is bombarded with simplistic stories of what penury and disaster will be the outcome if the other side wins office. What are the revenue sources to fund the extravagant promises made by each political party?
The country needs cogent, concise, responsible arguments that show that the candidates appreciate the mammoth task before them. To date, no party has demonstrated that they understand the challenge of holding office. Is our only choice the least bad alternative?