PETER CHRISTOPHER
In the view of commentators, the most surprising thing about the budget was the lack of surprises.
According to former Finance Minister Karen Nunez-Tesheira, much of the over five-hour presentation by Minister of Finance Colm Imbert was merely a rehashing of old policies and plans which had been announced over the course of the government’s tenure.
“I mean a lot of repetition, and they need less repetition. I think most people would agree with that,” said Nunez-Tesheira, in an interview with Business Guardian moments after Minister Imbert concluded the presentation.
However, she said the government’s announcement about the Petrotrin refinery being placed for sale or lease was an indication that the refinery should not have been closed in the first place.
“I think that’s always been very controversial. You know, the refinery issue. Why close it down? I think what they needed to do was have it restructured. So to close it down to reopen it, and now it’s going to cost much more to reopen the refinery,” said Nunez-Tesheir,a who stated that while the refinery had been around for some time, it had been regularly updated for modern demands, making the decision to move away from the refinery, in her view, more baffling.
The Petrotrin refinery was closed in October 2018, as the Government said keeping the refinery open was costing the country billions of dollars.
“Many parts of the plants are fairly new and being and had been rehabilitated. But to come now to now, to reopen refinery, after saying that the refinery was a drain on the economy and drain on the revenue, it seemed such a contradiction, rather than restructure, which is what was recommended, restructure it, make it a leaner, cleaner entity. But I don’t think closing it down was the way to go,” said Nunez-Tesheira.
During the budget presentation, the Finance Minister reported that three bidders, CRO Consortium, a locally based consortium comprising three companies, DR Commodities Limited, Chemie-Tech and Ocala; INCA Energy LLC, a company based in the USA; and Oando PLC, a company based in Nigeria had been shortlisted to take ownership of the refinery.
“That reopening of the refinery, let’s see what happens. There are three bidders, he says, let’s see what happens with that,” said the former Finance Minister.
However President. Greater San Fernando Area Chamber of Commerce (GSFCC) Kiran Singh was far more optimistic concerning the possible reopening of the refinery, given the potential impact it could have in South Western Trinidad.
“The refinery will be either sold or leased in the very near future. That is welcome news for the south western penisula, not only San Fernando,” said Singh during CNC3’s post-budget review show on Monday evening, “and of course it will bring some investment into the downstream industries from the reopening of the refinery. Because a lot of machinery has gone idle and with that, we can see some reinvestment in the southern economy.”
Nunez-Tesheira and other commentators however were a bit disappointed that more was not said about measures to bring in revenue apart from the energy sector.
Tax-free agriculture
Economist Dr. Vaalmikki Arjoon said while there was an announcement that agriculture would be made tax-free, he was not sure the obstacles in place of agricultural development had been removed, based on the information in the presentation.
“We keep hearing agriculture is a tax-free sector, but it really is not. We need to dispel that one time, or if not, they need to put measures in place to ensure that agriculture does become tax-free. Farmers still have to pay corporation tax. They still have to pay taxes when they import items. Even when importing seeds, you pay tax on that, importing equipment and machinery, etc. You pay tax on that,” said Arjoon, “In fairness to them. They are a litany of incentives and certain tax credits and breaks that farmers can actually take advantage of by the Ministry of Agriculture. The problem with that, though, is that there are thousands of farmers who can’t access it.”
He explained this is a result of the fact that many up-and-coming farmers do not have land tenure.
“This is a problem that keeps rolling over year after year, and I think it’s high time that we find a solution to ensure that farmers, those who don’t have land tenure, they can quickly get land tenure so that they can access not just the incentives offered by the Ministry of Agriculture, but also loans from the Agricultural Development Bank. If you don’t have tenure, it’s almost as though you’re an unregistered company, so you can’t go to a bank and get a loan. It is the same concept for farmers without land tenure,” said Arjoon, who also called for greater usage of smart technology for the agricultural sector to help maximise returns from land and crops, particularly given the challenges presented by climate change.
“The Minister spoke a lot about climate change and its impact on the agricultural sector, but there’s, in my view, there have been no real measures put in place to mitigate the effects of climate change on the agricultural sector,’ said Arjoon, who felt the government could learn from China with regard to using such technology for crop development.
“This is where smart technology use and the agriculture comes in. Simple things like getting new technology, such as sensors for your acreage, utilising sensors and big data to tell the farmer on his device, be it an iPad or his iPhone, whether they get whether there’s enough irrigation or there is not enough water, enough nutrients, which area in their acreage is infested with pests, how much fertiliser, how much fertilisers a particular area needs versus another area. All of these things can help to optimise your output per acreage under the very simple solutions and the technology is there,” said Dr. Arjoon.
However, the economist did hail the Minister for explaining the decision to switch the pricing mechanism for LNG prices from Henry Hub to other international standards, which has garnered the country an additional US $1b in revenue.