When she was sworn in one week ago, Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar told the audience at President’s House that the campaign was over and “you know our message of love, care and happiness.”
Just days earlier, Mrs Persad-Bissessar led the United National Congress (UNC) and its coalition of interests to a huge victory in the 2025 general election, emerging with 26 seats in the 41-constituency Parliament, far ahead of the previous administration of the People’s National Movement, which received 13 seats. The Tobago People’s Party got two seats.
In that speech, Mrs Persad Bissessar said:
"My role as your newly elected prime minister is simple: It is to love you and to do everything possible to make you and your loved ones happy. For too long, we have carried the heavy burden of a government that seems to have forgotten you. It is time we rise to the occasion and let citizens take their rightful places side by side with their new government.
"It is said that to whom much is given, much is expected. We as a nation and as a people have been blessed with much. Admittedly, we have also wasted much, unfortuntately.
"It is time we set T&T on the right pathway, where we cease to govern to simply win the next election and instead govern to create wealth and opportunities for seven generations into the future.
"In these circumstances, we must do better. We must be more innovative. We must create meaningful opportunities and do right by all people, so that we are all united as a nation and we can then step boldly into the future with confidence...
"This day starts the journey to rebuild our economy, to restore our security, to revolutionise our access to technology, diversify our revenue streams and renew our people's hope, faith and confidence to propel our beloved nation forward."
Rebuilding the economy and diversifying the country's revenue streams are both extremely important elements of the task that the Persad-Bissessar administration faces over the next five years.
But, given the current state of the economy, I would argue that, as an immediate objective, maintaining current revenue streams is even more important than diversifying those revenue streams.
It would be ideal for this new administration to mainain revenue streams, while seeking to diversify them. But, clearly and obviously, the need to maintain existing revenue streams is an immediate requirement of an administration that faces a fiscal deficit for the 2025 financial year, which started on October 1, 2024 and ends on September 30, 2025.
In delivering the 2025 budget, former Minister of Finance projected that T&T would collect $54.22 billion in revenue and spend a total of $59.74 billion. So in September last year, the previous administration projected a fiscal deficit of $5.52 billion, based on oil price assumptions of US$77.80 per barrel and natural gas assumptions of US$3.59 per MMBtu.
Knowing that T&T is in a tight fiscal position—meaning that it must collect as much revenue as possible and does not have too much room to increase expenditure—what does the new prime minister do?
Well, the first concrete announcement she made in her speech after her new Cabinet was sworn in on Saturday was that the UNC government would repeal the Trinidad and Tobago Revenue Authority (TTRA) Act.
This action would be taken because "there are some areas of priority, in keeping with our campaign's themes, policies and programmes."
Now, the purpose of the TTRA is to create a new semi-autonomous entity and transfer to it the tax and customs administration and enforcement powers now held by the Inland Revenue Division and the Customs and Excise Division.
In its strategic plan, the TTRA envisages that its establishment would result in an increase in tax revenues of between $3 billion and $10 billion.
According to an affidavit filed by former Minister of Finance, Colm Imbert, dated June 3, 2024, "In accordance with the strategic plan, the Authority aims to retain its tax collection levels in its first year of operation, followed by increases in revenue equivalent to one per cent and three per cent of GDP in the second and third years of operation, respectively, which would be equivalent to an increase in revenue of approximately $2 billion and $6 billion," in its second and third years.
The purpose of the establishment of the TTRA is to maximise the collection of revenue for the national good by managing the collection of taxes and customs duties, enhancing trade facilitation, and improving border control, according to its website.
The entity would do this by increasing the registration of the large number of companies and individuals in T&T who do not currently pay taxes on their income, or who do not pay the taxes on their income that they should.
Surely, one of the first tasks of the TTRA, after it was up and running, would have been to launch a new tax-gap analysis that would have provided the entity with an up-to-date estimate of the amount of tax revenue T&T is supposed to be collecting.
Questions:
1) Knowing T&T is facing a situation of constrained revenue well into the future, given declining energy revenues and the "death" of the Dragon gas project, why would Mrs Persad-Bissessar announce, as one of her first orders of business, the repeal of the TTRA Act?
2) If the new administration does not agree with certain clauses in the TTRA Act, would it not be a better idea to amend the legislation rather than repeal it?
3) How does the new administration expect to fund its ambitious expenditure plans—with commitments to start public sector wage negotiations at 10 per cent, for example—if it does not have the certainty of increased tax revenue from local companies and individuals?
4) If not the TTRA, how does the UNC administration propose to maximise the amount of revenue it collects domestically?
5) In the same speech on Saturday, the new prime minister referred to exploring options of getting natural gas from Guyana. Is she not aware that Guyana is already exploring four options for monetising its gas and that sending gas to T&T would not provide our Caricom neighbour with the returns of the other four?
6) Who benefits from the repeal of the TTRA Act and, more specifically, did any of the financiers of the UNC's 2025 election campaign make their contributions conditional on the repeal of the legislation?
In responding to questions from the media after her Cabinet was sworn in, Mrs Persad-Bissessar was asked about the many expenditure commitments made during the campaign, and whether she has a 100-day, or three-month plan, for delivering on the promises.
"I have a one-day plan," she said, adding, "I take it one day at a time and we will do the best we can. All of us are committed to keeping track of what we promised. And it is not just about promises, you know. It is about really taking care of people. I think my entire Cabinet carries forward with that thinking and we will just do the best we can, one day at a time."
She also said that there was some low-hanging fruit that the new government could advance without too much money.
"But I am really on a track now to find revenue streams. We need to diversify the economy, which will take a little longer, and that's why I talked about what we have a competitive advantage in, which is in the energy sector..."
Our prime minister is saying no to the TTRA, but she is really on a track to find revenue streams?
Please make that make sense to us, Madame Prime Minister.