Although United National Congress (UNC) political leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar is yet to speak on the issue, political analysts are offering differing views on how the party could benefit from the possible return of former stalwarts.
This week saw Jack Warner, Dr Fuad Khan and Vasant Bharath all expressing a willingness to contest a seat under the UNC’s banner in the upcoming general elections.
But political analyst Derek Ramsamooj believes while they can bring value to the party, it would be best served in a background and mentorship role.
“I believe the experience of these gentlemen can bring political benefit in the campaign when it comes to organizing voter support. However, whether you wish to have these gentlemen run in a particular constituency may not be strategically the best way forward if the UNC wants to create a new image for the party in the next general election,” Ramsamooj posited.
Ramsamooj contends that the men could also entice the swing voter or the non-voter to give the UNC their support if they assisted a young and vibrant UNC candidate.
“They would have a network of supporters in their respective constituencies that can maintain the existing UNC political base which along with a new type of candidate can bring first-time voters to the polls. Remember, you are building a coalition at the constituency level that would be your existing and potential new voter base,” Ramsamooj added.
Jack Warner has stated his intention to be the candidate for Chaguanas West, a seat he famously wrestled away from the UNC in 2013 for the then Independent Liberal Party (ILP) which he formed.
But Ramsamooj said if Warner was adamant about being a UNC candidate, he should focus on bringing home a marginal seat.
“Whether or not someone like Jack Warner considers a different constituency, such as La Horquetta/Talparo can perhaps make a political difference in that constituency. Chaguanas West is irrelevant. Whoever you put in Chaguanas West will win, what you need is someone who could win a seat or two that is currently not in their political column,” Ramsamooj said.
But Dr Shane Mohammed said it would be foolhardy to discount the impact the men could have as candidates, given their national gravitas.
“Dr Khan has a pristine track record in Barataria/San Juan. One that is unbeaten, and he kept it from the hands of the PNM therefore when a man has that acumen behind his name he is not to be discarded,” Mohammed contended.
The political analyst also offered more names which he said could bolster the UNC’s appeal.
“Why don’t we think about people like Carlos John, Lyndira Oudit, why not?” he questioned.
Mohammed said this next election promised to be a very close one and therefore the UNC needed all hands on deck, adding that the current cadre of UNC MPs may not command public trust and confidence.
“They will build public trust, the confidence of the people, be able to attract cross-sectional appeal and therefore that marriage between the politicians who are experienced who have the ability to provide support to the party with knowledge and an ability to know how to run a government is important while coaching young people on how the politics work, how the parliament works, and how effective they can be in a government,” Mohammed posited.
The political analyst said Kamla Persad-Bissessar would be wise to bring them back, as the PNM found success with a similar move.
“It will also be viewed by the people that Kamla Persad-Bissessar is not only serious but she walks the talk and she is able to see how valuable past members can be, they are very much equivalent to those in the PNM like Mrs Penny Beckles, Amery Browne and others who went back into the party. So, there could be no harm to the party by bringing in those who have worked and served before, those who I would call the backbone of the party,” he said.
But Dr Winford James is of a different opinion.
James told Guardian Media that the UNC’s supporters may be wary of the old guard returning.
“I think Vasant (Bharath) is capable, but I don’t know how well the UNC crowd likes those guys because they seem to be opportunistic with the way they are moving. I don’t know if they came out in support of Persad-Bissessar when they had internal elections. But now they seem emboldened by Jack (Warner) and now they want to come back,” he said.
He even postulated a reason as to why Persad-Bissessar has not yet publicly responded to their offer.
“Kamla cannot be happy with perceived opportunism even if they had political value in the past.
“These guys have had their political value eroded through no fault of their own and now because they have the scent of elections, they are probably thinking Persad-Bissessar does not have candidates of that necessary strength and she may take them on,” James speculated.
James said while Warner can possibly show his worth more in a marginal seat, he again questioned what political value the former National Security Minister can still bring to the party.
“They are not going to lose Chaguanas West, so the UNC does not need to use Jack Warner as an electoral weapon. In any event, Jack is heading for 80 so he is not as vibrant. I don’t think he can pull the crowd like he did in 2013,” James said.
The UNC is yet to conduct its screening process for candidates. Chairman Dave Tancoo told Guardian Media on Thursday that a date for that will be set when the national executive meets in the coming days.