In presenting mid-year information on the nation's economy this week, Central Bank Governor Ewart Williams hinted at a state of affairs which the current administration should seek to redress as soon as possible. Discussing the country's fiscal situation, Governor Williams pointed out that, on a cash basis, T&T's overall deficit for the period October 2009 to May 2010 was $77.9 million. While noting the much smaller than anticipated deficit was on a cash basis, Governor Williams said: "The data need to be interpreted with caution since there are reportedly large payments owed to contractors and suppliers. When these are factored in, the projected overall deficit for the year as a whole could be about $5.8 billion or about 4 per cent of GDP, compared with the budgeted deficit of 5.3 per cent." This seems to suggest that the Government owes contractors and suppliers over $5 billion–monies which the State has been late in paying.
While the Government may treat the late payment of contractors and suppliers as a tool of fiscal management, there are very serious consequences to this scandalous state of affairs.
The Sub-contractors Association of T&T, this week, estimated that the construction industry has lost 35,000 jobs in the last 18 months as a result of non-payment or tardy payment of bills. What's more, the sub-contractors argued, many of them face insolvency as a result of the huge sums of money owed to them for work done on government construction projects. Late payment of outstanding bills not only contributes to unnecessary unemployment, it may be a direct cause of T&T's economic stagnation as businessmen may be unwilling to commit to new investments if they are owed billions of dollars by the Government. Moreover, if suppliers and sub-contractors receive late payments from the Government, they are often forced to enter into overdraft arrangements at usurious rates of interest. While overdraft may help to sustain the profits earned by banks, it adds significantly to the costs that local businesses are forced to bear, which they pass on to their other customers in order to survive. In effect, this means that the costs of goods and services in this country are higher than necessary simply as a result of the Government's failure to pay its bills on time. And it is not true that the Government is late with all of its disbursements.
Indeed, the Government is extremely efficient in making some payments on time. Government, for example, is never late in making payments of interest on the country's national debt or on repaying the principal when debts become due. As well, there is absolutely no question about late payment when the Government embarks on the massive monthly task of compensating its 100,000 public servants or the thousands of pensioners who depend on timely payment to meet their commitments. The Government has instituted systems to ensure that bondholders, employees and pensioners get paid on time. Why are there systems in place to ensure that bondholders, public servants and pensioners get paid on time, but not suppliers and contractors? While there is some element of verification needed before a contractor's bill can be paid, the simple answer is that there are serious consequences for a government that pays its bondholders, public servants and pensioners even one day late. In the case of government bonds, if the State were to make a late interest payment, bondholders could immediately move to have the Government declared to be in default of its debt obligations. Such an event would have a calamitous impact on the country–from an instant downgrade of T&T's sovereign debt, with the impact on future borrowing costs, to the refusal of foreign suppliers to ship goods to T&T.
Also, governments that pay salaries and pensions late face severe political consequences. The issue, then, is that the Government faces no direct consequences as a result of its failure to make timely payments to contractors and suppliers (the indirect consequences are huge and painful, as we have noted). As the largest employer, builder and purchaser of supplies by far in this country, there is no contractor or supplier who can afford not to work for the Government–regardless of the high price they are made to pay. We recommend, therefore, that the Government ensures that all outstanding bills are tallied, verified and paid before the Finance Minister reads the 2011 budget in Parliament. The Government must realise the negative impact that its late payment is having on the economy and must commit to making quantum improvements in the speed with which outstanding bills are paid–even if this means imposing penalties on itself or its employees for late payment.