The US presidential election outcome seemed set even from 10.23 pm Tuesday when former Republican President Donald Trump totalled 154 Electoral College votes from the required 270—and Democrats Vice President Kamala Harris, only 81.
By Wednesday, the takeaways from President-elect Trump’s “2.0” campaign and Harris’ crushing defeat were clear to the Government and Opposition: the results of disconnection, under/overestimating people, and public feelings on “bread-and-butter” issues.
Trump correctly targeted US economy and security concerns, bonding ethnicities, genders, and ages. Flipping swing states, Red Tide results shouted voters’ disgruntlement with burdens affecting basics beyond Democrats’ banner causes, idealism, and “page-turning.”
So: Trump 78, the oldest to assume the US’ highest office, continues trending senior, strong—bombastic—leaders. Amid Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley’s open-handed congratulations, it’s ahead how Trump’s “healing America” affects Caribbean trade, oil prices, energy, security, and Venezuela.
The Government has confirmed that T&T’s Washington lobbyists strengthened pre-election links with Republicans. In August, Energy Minister Stuart Young assured Government’s always met Democrat and Republican representatives on energy security, working “very hard to have relationships on both sides and never took “ one side or the other.”
But other issues continue. If Rowley attempted a “surprise strategy” on the Opposition with the early general election, cancelling PNM’s internal elections for this, uncovered issues in his camp, including resistance to the perception that Young—repeatedly appointed PM—may be “fast-tracked” to leadership minus internals allowing an executive to seek members’ views.
PNM sources claim almost “38 per cent” of executive members oppose postponement beyond labour officer Jennifer Baptiste-Primus. On why ex-minister Robert Le Hunte—who holds no post—is voicing views, before his 2020 Cabinet resignation he was seen by some—including certain executive members and PNM’s so-called “black caucus”—as “heir apparent” (sic).
Since only MPs have a chance seeking leadership, his 2020 attempt at La Brea candidacy may have helped, but resignation derailed that. Now, internal poll cancellation—which may have changed the executive and PNM’s screening team—also ends his intention to re-seek La Brea.
Rowley, commenting on Le Hunte recently, coyly queried one person being treated as a “bellwether” (leader). Le Hunte, however, maintains concern the executive—which includes screening team members—may select candidates supporting Young’s leadership.
With the issue shadowing election-bound PNM, no date’s expected until internal and external issues are remedied. If the US outcome sensitises the Government to ensure citizens feel comfortable, procurement procedures’ delay to facilitate improvements is one factor to fix.
More develops month end when nominee screening for 15 of PNM’s 22 constituencies begins—one sign election may not be as distant as August 2025. While Rowley’s observed reactions to Young, screening’s being observed by detractors as a test whether candidates selected may hold the potential “to defend” Young’s leadership.
It’s ahead whether a solution comes via assurance that Rowley’s entering the election and won’t resign as PM until after members choose a leader, and if that arises with another indicator of an imminent date: when nominations are sought for the last seven PNM constituencies, including Rowley’s, Young’s, and Tobago seats.
That’s expected after early 2025 completion of election legislation: Tobago autonomy bills, EBC’s boundary changes, and campaign finance reform. Early election’s also required as UNC coalesces. Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar has added incentives.
After flame-throwing “koochoor” on PNM’s issues, citing PNM’s Foster Cummings as a “leadership” contender against Young, she earned Le Hunte’s criticism. More torching’s ahead at Monday’s UNC meeting alongside Prof Selwyn Cudjoe in PNM’s San Fernando West.
Her effusive message on Trump and his “coalition of interests”—a concept her Government rose on—bore out UNC insiders’ view since August that a “weak” Harris would lose. UNC will pursue a similar coalition.
How that works for NTA’s Gary Griffith, HOPE, Jack Warner, ex-MPs, and the Paray Five remains ahead. Despite the upcoming US extradition case, Warner’s exultation that a “convicted felon could win the highest US post” and “T&T must respect America’s wishes” may aid UNC nominees with legal issues.
Persad-Bissessar’s management, including screening, will test her capacity for hard decisions required if her opposition is to meet scrutiny. Beyond Trump’s success. And PNM’s issues.