Since becoming Prime Minister, Kamla Persad-Bissessar has been saying that there are grave financial and economic problems in our country, which is true. But the Prime Minister has also said her Government will fix the problems.
The Prime Minister has also been clear about things she will not do. Like no property taxes and no revenue authority. And she has been equally clear on things her Government will do. Stand-your-ground legislation, laptops in schools, getting the refinery going.
Let’s take the refinery. How do you get the refinery going without putting out taxpayers’ money as a form of investment at a time of reduced revenue, low cashflow and high debt? Well, an investor will be required; but an investor will only take the risk if they can see profitability at some point and, ultimately, a return on investment. That is why people invest in a business, to make a profit, to yield a return.
I wonder if there is any possibility of the government of Guyana being offered the refinery as is, for one dollar, so that they can replenish, rehabilitate, develop, renew the refinery and design a business model to carry the refinery to profitability? Guyana has the oil, it is a cash-rich country now, growing at a rapid rate, and owning a refinery may make sense to that country. I don’t really know. Moreover, Guyana is a neighbour and a Caricom country. Is this worth a serious effort?
There would be other complications to work out. For instance, the OWTU wants a share of ownership. There are ways and means of working that out, as can any other complications that can arise in a business arrangement. The important thing would be to work out a deal that would be of value to both governments and countries.
Synergies between Guyana and T&T already exist and can only deepen if intensified by such an arrangement. This region, despite our own local energy production challenges, is growing in importance as an energy province. Guyana and T&T are surrounded by Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela, Grenada and Barbados, all of which have real and potential energy assets. T&T, in such an energy domain, has a lot to offer in terms of expertise, competence, know-how and experience. Out of a deeper Guyana/TT synergy, a lot of business, job and innovation opportunities can accrue.
The prime minister has also expressed worry about the number of state enterprises that depend on continuing subsidies from the taxpayer. A ten per cent cut to all state enterprises will immediately reduce government expenditure and impose discipline on state enterprise management and on new boards to be appointed. This can be signalled in the mid-year review and given effect in the 2026 budget in October.
Moreover, the Government could thoughtfully determine which SOEs it wishes to divest; and over the 2026 fiscal year, it can identify four or five entities for divestment. The divestment strategy can include a range of forms of ownership - local private sector, foreign private companies, employee share ownership and public offerings on the stock exchange.
More disciplined and focused state enterprises, immediately less costly to the taxpayer and a meaningful divestment to ease the taxpayer burden, will reduce subsidy allocations, increase private investment and bring workers and citizens into ownership of businesses. This is a desirable track for this country to pursue. Government may also want to encourage selected private companies to do the same, beginning with employee share ownership initiatives. More citizens having a stake in business and, in the country, will stimulate ambition, drive productivity up, and support economic and political stability.
The Prime Minister has said Government may not be able to expand GATE. Mrs Persad-Bissessar is correct. The country just does not have the money. Although investment in human development is a good investment with both private and public benefits, families and other stakeholders should share the cost. Social capital is as important as intellectual and skills capital.
I suggest a reversion to the Dollar-for-Dollar Programme, which would significantly reduce expenditure on this item but also offer an incentive for those who want to pursue educational opportunities. Moreover, the principle should be established that no one who wishes to pursue tertiary education opportunities should be denied access because of inability to afford. Financing arrangements could be worked through with the banking and credit union sectors for student loans.
Moreover, I suggest a modest graduate tax of two per cent of income or earnings for all graduates after graduation, once they become income earners, for a limited duration. This tax should be allocated for tertiary education support. That way, public expenditure renders a private benefit to the young citizen and that private benefit then contributes to public good in the longer term.