The Central Bank of T&T yesterday noted that that lower foreign currency conversions by energy-sector companies led to stranger demand for foreign exchange, which resulted in growth of foreign currency borrowings and a decline in foreign currency deposits.
In its Monetary Policy Report for May 2024, the Central Bank said the sale of foreign exchange from the public (including energy companies) to authorised dealers amounted to US$1.83 billion over January to May 2024, a decrease of 8.5 per cent relative to the same period a year earlier.
T&T's monetary authority and banker to the Government said the decline in sale of foreign exchange to the authorised dealers for the first five months of 2024, followed a 13.1 per cent decrease for the period January to May 2023.
The decline in conversions by energy companies led to an increase in foreign currency borrowing by companies and individuals for the period between April 2023 and April 2024.
" On a year-on-year basis, foreign currency credit recorded an increase of 25.4 per cent in April 2024...Over the period, despite a deceleration in the growth of nonbank foreign currency credit (32.1 per cent), commercial banks ramped up their supply of foreign currency credit (24.8 per cent)," said the Central Bank.
The Bank stated that lending to businesses in April 2024, grew by 33.4 per cent, from April 2023, noting that "anecdotal evidence suggests lending was used as an avenue to fill the gaps in foreign currency market supply."
Regarding foreign currency deposits, the Bank said there had been a 1.5 per cent expansion in April 2024, compared to a year earlier.
Business foreign currency deposits recovered in the fourth month of 2024 (3.5 per cent) after entering 2024 in negative territory, though down from October 2023 (13.4 per cent).
Consumer foreign currency deposits continued to decline, despite improvements in the first four months of 2024. Compared to a 9.5 per cent contraction in October 2023, consumer foreign currency deposits fell by 2.5 per cent in April 2024, according to the Central Bank.
The purchase of foreign exchange from authorised dealers by the public reached US$2.37 billion over the period January to May 2024, a decrease of 11.4 per cent relative to the same period a year prior.
The net sales gap for the first five months of the year amounted to US$540.3 million during the period, with the Central Bank selling US$500.0 million to authorised dealers.
The Central Bank also noted that export earnings declined in the fourth quarter of 2023 as a result of a reduction in energy exports, underpinned by lower international commodity prices, and non-energy exports.
"The decline in energy export earnings was reflected across most energy commodities, of which the largest was petrochemicals (-46.7 per cent), followed by gas (-30.5 per cent), and petroleum crude and refined products (-6.1 per cent).
"Compounding this position was a reduction in non-energy exports, which fell by 18.0 per cent (year-onyear) to US$387.9 million, reflective of lower international demand for domestic products. Total exports fell by 31.6 per cent (year-onyear) to US$2.35 billion.