As the global energy sector becomes more competitive T&T needs to move faster in ensuring it can really offer what investors need.
According to Dominic Rampersad, president, Phoenix Park Gas Processors Ltd, investors are seeking certain things including a stable investment climate.
Speaking on a panel titled, “Improving the Investment Climate,” at the T&T Energy Conference, Rampersad explained, “As an investment territory we tend to be inward focused. We look at what we have to offer to the world,” as he referenced that in the 1990s and in the early 2000s T&T, at that time, presented a model which was consistent with what investors were looking for.
“You had cheap gas, long-term contracts, you had cheap electricity…the bottom line was we were the low-cost producer in the region and therefore, investors came in here influx.
“Today I’m not so sure that still exists.One of the things that comes out very clearly is when you listen to even some of our existing multinationals as they reinvest back into the country is they are looking for certain things and one of the things they are looking for is stability,” Rampersad outlined.
He further advised that T&T needs to look for the gaps and plug them.
“We really have to stand back and understand as a gas-producing country where our level of competitiveness is, where it is relative to what investors are looking for and where our gaps are. The problem is in doing that we don’t have a lot of time to do it because new provinces are showing up.
“We’ve seen the impact of the ‘Shale Revolution’ over the last couple of years and now we are seeing the impact of Guyana and Suriname on our market. Being able to move quickly is going to be a real important factor for us as a country,” Rampersad reiterated.
In the meantime he added, investors are not waiting as they have a host of other options.
Hence, unless T&T presents a package to investors as to why it’s better than the alternative, “we will just be simply wasting time,” Rampersad emphasised.
The competition, therefore, not only remains very real among other countries but there’s also competition between capital that would have gone to traditional hydrocarbons versus the capital that’s going towards renewables.
As an international player Paul Baay, president and CEO of Touchstone Exploration, an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in T&T, outlined some of the walls he faces.
“When I go in to give a pitch in London or Toronto I really don’t have to pitch about Trinidad, stability of Government, the rocks... but the question that always comes up is the fiscal take, the netback and how much cash we are actually generating and that’s where this competitiveness sort of disappears and you don’t have that same competition for capital,” Baay explained.
He said it’s more than just the fiscal regime in T&T.
“It’s like only having one buyer of your gas. In our particular case we have to get a gas contract to get the financing to develop a gas plant so the first thing you have to do is negotiate with NGC but we don’t have a lot of leverage when it’s the only buyer and I need the money to operate the plant,” Baay added.
This, Baay said, is reflected in pricing, noting that investors like to invest in companies where they will get the uptick.
Another obstacle facing the sector is time to production which can also affect competitiveness.
Schreiner Parker, senior vice-president, of the consulting firm Rystad Energy referenced the case of Manatee, a conventional gas development located in the shallow water in T&T and is operated by Shell T&T.
“We’re talking about discoveries coming into production that were made in 2005 which is the case with Manatee. We’re in 2023 now and we’re talking about production maybe starting in 2028 so that’s a super long lead time and what it does is it puts a lot of pressure on the country in general because you’re not realising the ultimate value of the resource that has been discovered when it’s sitting there in a non-sanctioned scenario,” Parker explained.
He added that looking at the average time of 15 years in T&T means there’s a lot of money that’s being left in the ground, both for companies and the Government.
However, he noted that at the same time, an entity may decide to go this route, particularly when dealing with gas assets because of market volatility and the different reasons it may not want to move forward.
According to Parker if the fiscal terms are attractive enough then operators will want to put those discoveries into production, adding that there must be licensing terms in place that require the assets to take the next steps after discovery.
Additionally, achieving a balance between a return for investors and doing good by the people was also discussed.
This, Rampersad said, is “basic investment 101.”
He said the sector has to be market-driven, noting that too much of the conversation around investing in T&T starts and centres around fiscal incentives.
“We seem to always expect the Government and the people of T&T to provide the incentive for people to invest here. That has to be balanced,” Rampersad advised.
He said while he agreed that a country’s microeconomic system has to be attractive, this has to be balanced with the “market that the products are eventually chasing.”
“All of these products that we’re producing; whether it is from the energy sector or the manufacturing sector or even the services sector..is chasing a market and we tend to not want to focus enough on these investments being market-based verse them being too much fiscal incentive-based.
“We have to find that balance between what the market can tolerate and where we as a country now need to step in to ensure there’s a fair return for the investor as well as the people of T&T,” Rampersad explained.
Using the country’s Central Bank as an example, he said the institution has done a good job of creating a stable environment for interest rates to allow and encourage people and investors to borrow.
Stating that this balance must be across the board, Rampersad also noted that in the past fiscal incentives have been provided and as soon as the assets are monetised there’s more call for more fiscal incentives.