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Saturday, May 3, 2025

Experts regret COP29 outcome

by

Ryan Bachoo
149 days ago
20241205

“No deal is bet­ter than a bad deal!”

That was the chant that rang out­side the ple­nary halls as the Unit­ed Na­tions Con­fer­ence of Par­ties (COP29) went in­to its fi­nal hours and ne­go­tia­tors strug­gled to find com­mon ground on cli­mate fi­nance.

Even­tu­al­ly, coun­tries would agree to a $300 bil­lion cli­mate fi­nance tar­get for de­vel­op­ing coun­tries by 2035 tripling a pledge that was made and nev­er kept 15 years ago.

The ma­jor out­come of COP29 set off a firestorm of crit­i­cism from around the world led by Small Is­land De­vel­op­ing States (SIDS).

Many ne­go­tia­tors and ac­tivists feel it’s a ma­jor set­back for the cli­mate jus­tice SIDS have been fight­ing for decades.

Ac­cord­ing to the UN En­vi­ron­ment Pro­gramme (UN­EP), the gap in fi­nanc­ing for adap­ta­tion is up­wards of $400 bil­lion every year. Dr James Fletch­er, who played a piv­otal role in the Paris Agree­ment, said when it comes to loss and dam­age fi­nanc­ing that fig­ure could climb to half a tril­lion dol­lars every year. De­vel­op­ing coun­tries went to the ne­go­ti­at­ing ta­ble at COP29 ask­ing for $1.3 tril­lion.

“That is in no way fair. That is not cli­mate jus­tice. What you are ba­si­cal­ly say­ing to de­vel­op­ing coun­tries is that we will not give you the lev­el of fi­nanc­ing that you need for you to be able to adapt to this cli­mate cri­sis,” Fletch­er told Guardian Me­dia this week.

He went fur­ther in say­ing that the out­come of COP29 may not be re­alised in the com­ing years.

“I’m not hold­ing my breath. As woe­ful­ly in­ad­e­quate as $300 bil­lion is com­pared to $1.3 tril­lion I don’t even be­lieve we will get $300 bil­lion an­nu­al­ly. That’s the re­al­i­ty.” His state­ment came af­ter Glob­al North coun­tries failed to de­liv­er the $100 bil­lion pledge that was agreed up­on in 2009.

Ad­di­tion­al­ly, he said COP29’s fail­ure to com­mit to grant fi­nanc­ing spells even more in­jus­tice for some of the least pol­luters in the world.

He said that means most of the fi­nanc­ing for cli­mate adap­ta­tion, mit­i­ga­tion and loss and dam­age will now be fund­ed by mul­ti­lat­er­al de­vel­op­ment banks and pri­vate fi­nance “which means that we now have to in­crease our debt bur­den in or­der to fi­nance a re­sponse to a cri­sis we did not cre­ate.”

Ruean­na Haynes, who was a ne­go­tia­tor for the Al­liance of Small Is­land States (AO­SIS), said SIDS coun­tries have been con­cerned about the “in­creas­ing­ly vi­cious cy­cle” link­ing loss and dam­age as a re­sult of cli­mate change im­pacts to sov­er­eign debt.

In an in­ter­view this week, Haynes stat­ed the Baku cli­mate fi­nance deal speaks to the need to con­sid­er SIDS but does not go far enough to en­sure that the chal­lenges SIDS have tra­di­tion­al­ly faced with cli­mate fi­nance ac­cess are ac­tu­al­ly ad­dressed. She added, “We don’t know as yet how ex­act­ly this new goal will im­pact our broad­er ef­forts. It’s too ear­ly to tell. What we do know is that it is woe­ful­ly in­suf­fi­cient in com­par­i­son to the needs of de­vel­op­ing coun­tries. From a cli­mate jus­tice point of view, it com­plete­ly miss­es the mark as a head­line num­ber. But is­sues per­tain­ing to qual­i­ty and ac­cess are al­so high­ly rel­e­vant.”

For many of these rea­sons, Fletch­er backs a call for not host­ing COPs in coun­tries that have “im­por­tant oil and gas sec­tors.”

He al­so said, “The COP pres­i­dent and the COP pres­i­den­cy play a very im­por­tant role in en­sur­ing that there is an am­bi­tious out­come and en­sur­ing that the out­comes com­ing out of COP re­flect what it is we are work­ing to­wards.”

How­ev­er, as the up­roar con­tin­ued over cli­mate fi­nance, T&T’s lead cli­mate ne­go­tia­tor, Kis­han Ku­mars­ingh, of­fered a dif­fer­ent per­spec­tive on how small is­land states can move for­ward from the dis­ap­point­ment of COP29.

He said, “Any amount of fi­nance that you may get will al­ways be in­ad­e­quate as long as emis­sions con­tin­ue to rise and the im­pacts of cli­mate change wors­en. Ad­dress­ing the core is­sue of re­duc­ing emis­sions by those coun­tries ac­count­ing for the ma­jor­i­ty of glob­al emis­sions, in­clud­ing the emerg­ing economies, is where the so­lu­tion lies. You can have all the fi­nance in the world, if you do not have the leg­isla­tive, in­sti­tu­tion­al, ad­min­is­tra­tive and pol­i­cy frame­work and ca­pac­i­ty to en­able ac­tion whether it’s re­duc­ing emis­sions or whether it is ad­dress­ing adap­ta­tion, which  re­quire fi­nance, then noth­ing can hap­pen.”

This sto­ry was pub­lished with the sup­port of the Caribbean Cli­mate Jus­tice Jour­nal­ism Fel­low­ship, which is a joint ven­ture of Cli­mate Track­er and Open So­ci­ety Foun­da­tions.


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