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Friday, April 11, 2025

Oil’s chaotic collapse deepens as global stocks drop

by

1815 days ago
20200421
Oil tank train cars sit idle yesterday in Chicago. The world is awash in oil and there’s little demand for it. That explains this week’s strange and unprecedented action in the market for crude oil futures contracts.

Oil tank train cars sit idle yesterday in Chicago. The world is awash in oil and there’s little demand for it. That explains this week’s strange and unprecedented action in the market for crude oil futures contracts.

NEW YORK—A bar­rel of oil now costs less than a cheap bot­tle of wine.

Oil prices crum­pled even fur­ther yes­ter­day, and US stocks sank to their worst loss in weeks as wor­ries swept mar­kets world­wide about the eco­nom­ic car­nage caused by the coro­n­avirus pan­dem­ic.

US bench­mark crude was trad­ing as low as $6.50 a bar­rel yes­ter­day, more than 80 per cent low­er than the start of the year.

The dizzy­ing drop re­flect­ed stark suf­fer­ing in the glob­al econ­o­my that has left vast­ly di­min­ished de­mand for oil.

There’s lit­tle mys­tery around the sharp drop-off: Ef­forts to lim­it the spread of the coro­n­avirus have ma­jor cities around the world on lock­down, air trav­el has been se­ri­ous­ly cur­tailed and mil­lions of peo­ple are work­ing from home, lead­ing to far few­er com­muters on the roads.

The mar­ket’s spot­light was again on oil, where prices have plum­met­ed be­cause very few peo­ple are fly­ing or dri­ving and fac­to­ries have shut amid wide­spread stay-at-home or­ders.

Glob­al de­mand is set to drop to lev­els last seen in the mid-1990s.

At the same time, oil pro­duc­ers can’t slow their pro­duc­tion fast enough and all the ex­tra crude means stor­age tanks are quick­ly run­ning out of room.

The cost for a bar­rel of US oil to be de­liv­ered in June plunged 43 per cent to $11.57. That’s the part of the mar­ket that oil traders are fo­cused on and trad­ing most ac­tive­ly.

For oil to be de­liv­ered next month, which is when stor­age tanks could top out, the cost of a bar­rel stood at $10.01.

A day ear­li­er, it fell be­low ze­ro for the first time, mean­ing traders paid oth­ers to take oil off their hands to get rid of the headache of find­ing where to store it.

An­a­lysts con­sid­er prices for US oil to be de­liv­ered in June and lat­er as clos­er to the “true” price of crude, along with prices for in­ter­na­tion­al oils.

They did not drop be­low ze­ro, in part be­cause the stor­age is­sues aren’t as press­ing for them. But they al­so slid yes­ter­day on the same con­cern: A glob­al econ­o­my in­ca­pac­i­tat­ed by the virus out­break doesn’t need to burn as much fu­el.

Brent crude, the in­ter­na­tion­al stan­dard, for de­liv­ery in June lost 24.4 per cent to $19.33 per bar­rel.

“I don’t think there’s enough time even be­fore the June con­tract to solve the stor­age ca­pac­i­ty is­sue, so you see the June con­tract com­ing down sharply,” said David Joy, chief mar­ket strate­gist at Ameriprise Fi­nan­cial. (AP)

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