On June 5, 2025, Kamla Persad-Bissessar spoke at a post-Cabinet briefing in response to statements made by the Venezuelan government and said, “I will speak to the Minister of Defence and the Attorney General to seek advice on protections for our Coast Guard to use deadly force on any unidentified vessel entering T&T waters from Venezuela.”
Despite this, the Minister of Foreign Affairs Sean Sobers met with the Ambassador of Venezuela to T&T after Persad-Bissessar’s fiery rhetoric and the newspapers reported that both sides agreed to open diplomatic channels.
Journalist Clint Chan Tack reported on June 12th that a NACTA poll found that there was widespread support for the Prime Minister’s fiery rhetoric.
“NACTA said its poll found many of the respondents describing Persad-Bissessar’s response to the Venezuelan government’s claims as brilliant. They say she stands and defends her ground. They said the Prime Minister spoke with a self-assured, controlled, cool, straight, steady, level head. NACTA said the majority of the poll’s respondents found Persad-Bissessar’s statements to be analytical and a demonstration of her knowledge of geopolitics.”
But NACTA added that the poll also had some respondents who felt Persad-Bissessar was cleverly “gallerying to the US.”
I agree with the sentiment that Persad-Bissessar is “gallerying” to the US, as I noted in previous columns that the United National Congress (UNC) has adopted policy positions similar to the Republican party of the US. Closing the US border remains front and centre of Donald Trump’s MAGA ideology and such rhetoric from Persad-Bissessar may be intended to make Nicolás Maduro think that the UNC may be a Republican-backed government.
Looking at global trends, border skirmishes that fall short of war are frightening but commonplace. On May 28, 2025, a Cambodian soldier was killed in a clash with Thailand at a disputed border crossing. India and Pakistan engaged in a border skirmish this year that saw bombing, artillery fired and aircraft shot down.
Thankfully, only words were exchanged between T&T and Venezuela this year.
Venezuela has a history of sending ships into Guyanese waters and questioning Guyana’s borders and territorial integrity. On May 26, 2025, France24 news reported: “Venezuela elected officials on Sunday for the first time for Essequibo region, an oil-rich territory that Caracas claims from neighbouring Guyana as part of a centuries-old dispute.”
This is a breach of an order granted by the International Court of Justice and the general principles of international law enshrined in Article 2 of the UN charter that prevents sovereign states from threats or the use of force against the territorial integrity of another state.
Iranian hypothesis
The Mehr news agency, sponsored by the government of Iran, covered this matter in an article entitled “Tensions spiral between Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago,” showing Iranian interest in the issue.
My opinion is that the only nation that benefits from Venezuela distracting the Trump administration by making veiled threats is Iran. While Russia and Venezuela have ties, the US would never start a war with Russia due to the threat of mutually assured destruction by both sides with nuclear weapons.
Maria Villarroel, writing for the Latin Times in January 2025, reported the potential construction of an Iranian drone factory in Venezuela in a bid to increase military ties between the nations. Iranian officials and military personnel are already residing in Venezuela, possibly helping to train its military who lack the depth of expertise that Iran has had fighting wars.
The need to tie up US naval ships and intelligence resources to monitor Venezuela will make Trump think twice about an extensive bombing campaign against Iran. Iranian agents can also use Venezuela as a base to strike against US oil interests in Guyana by attacking ExxonMobil oil rigs.
Perhaps one of the many reasons why Trump was hesitant to join Israel in strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, is the risk of proxy attacks against US interests in the Caribbean, especially Exxon’s oil rigs in Guyanese waters.
Iran’s strategic preference is to arm proxy groups like the Houthis in Yemen to tie up US resources defending shipping lanes.
If Iran and the US were to wage an all-out war, Iran would seek to close the Strait of Hormuz, which would block 20 per cent of the world’s oil supply, sending energy prices sky high and causing a global economic recession.
Using Venezuela as a base, Iranian drones could also attack Exxon oil rigs as a form of retaliation against the United States. While such a scenario seems far-fetched, readers should be reminded that the Caribbean was a theatre during World War II. During the 1942 Battle of the Caribbean, German submarine U-129, under the command of Nicholas Aschmann, sank the tanker Nordvangen near Trinidad during WWII. The Battle of the Caribbean saw German submarines sink 263 ships, according to the US Naval Institute.
In this heated geopolitical era, T&T must walk cautiously to ensure that its sovereignty is respected even while the threat of World War III looms ominously in the distance.