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Friday, July 4, 2025

Can diplomacy save mankind from WWIII

by

11 days ago
20250623

The an­swer to the fears ex­pressed re­cent­ly about an ex­plo­sion of dead­ly hu­man and coun­try-de­stroy­ing vi­o­lence break­ing out in the Mid­dle East may have been an­swered. The bomb­ing by the Unit­ed States of what it says are three nu­clear fa­cil­i­ties in­side Iran, places the world on the thresh­old of a con­fla­gra­tion from which its pop­u­la­tion and en­vi­ron­ment will not re­vive for decades.

As it oc­curred two days ago, the US bomb­ing of Iran can drag those na­tions which have been on the side­lines in­sti­gat­ing, sup­port­ing with arms and am­mu­ni­tion and of­fer­ing pro­tec­tion at in­ter­na­tion­al fo­ra to Is­rael, to be­come phys­i­cal­ly in­volved in the con­se­quences of the US bomb­ing in­side the heart of Iran.

Be­hind this seg­ment of the war is the in­sis­tence by Is­rael, the Unit­ed States and Eu­rope that Iran must not be al­lowed ever to de­vel­op the ca­pac­i­ty to pro­duce nu­clear weapons. To al­low the Is­lam­ic Re­pub­lic of Iran to de­vel­op and pos­sess nukes will en­dan­ger Is­rael and from the per­spec­tive of the West­ern pow­ers, dis­rupt the favourable pow­er bal­ance in the Mid­dle East.

The re­al­i­ty of the ex­ist­ing sit­u­a­tion is that Is­rael has sig­nif­i­cant nu­clear weapons, a range of pow­er and so­phis­ti­cat­ed mod­ern weapon­ry, war in­fra­struc­ture and, with it all, the over­whelm­ing eco­nom­ic and po­lit­i­cal force of the Unit­ed States and Eu­rope at its dis­pos­al.

Less than one week ago, US Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump in­formed Iran that it had two weeks to set­tle on his de­mands for an un­con­di­tion­al sur­ren­der or face the con­se­quences.

It should be re­vealed why the de­ci­sion to bomb has come af­ter on­ly a cou­ple days; it sure­ly could not be the fear of Iran de­vel­op­ing the nu­clear bomb in the present and there­fore be­ing in a po­si­tion to use it be­fore diplo­ma­cy could be com­plet­ed.

Back in 2015, Iran signed an in­ter­na­tion­al agree­ment with Chi­na, France, Ger­many, Rus­sia, the Unit­ed King­dom, the Unit­ed States and the Eu­ro­pean Union to cut back on nu­clear en­rich­ment and to en­sure its nu­clear pro­gramme would be en­tire­ly peace­ful. On com­ing to of­fice in 2016, Pres­i­dent Trump with­drew from that agree­ment.

Re­cent­ly, the US Pres­i­dent said his di­rec­tor of Na­tion­al In­tel­li­gence, Tul­si Gab­bard, was “wrong” in her state­ment that Iran has no in­ten­tion or the ca­pac­i­ty to de­vel­op nu­clear weapons.

The world has not had to wait a long time to know how Iran would re­act. It has al­ready be­gun to trade mis­siles with Is­rael and has promised far-reach­ing con­se­quences for the US bomb­ing.

Wait­ing, ob­serv­ing and cal­cu­lat­ing on the out­skirts of the con­tin­u­ing con­flict led by Is­raeli ag­gres­sion and the US bomb­ing are Rus­sia and Chi­na. The for­mer has, over a long pe­ri­od of time, had phys­i­cal in­volve­ment in the area and is be­lieved to pose an ex­is­ten­tial threat to US/West­ern geo-po­lit­i­cal hege­mo­ny in the area.

A few Arab coun­tries, in­clud­ing Sau­di Ara­bia, the Unit­ed Arab Emi­rates, Egypt, and Iran, all have work­ing re­la­tions with Rus­sia and Chi­na; they al­so have sim­i­lar re­la­tions with the US and the West.

The is­sue is whether or not it’s too late for diplo­ma­cy; more­over, will diplo­ma­cy be of val­ue to Iran if its nu­clear plants, which it has in­sist­ed are for peace­ful pur­pos­es, have been “dev­as­tat­ed” by the Amer­i­can bomb­ing?


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