Last week was not good for either the Finance Minister or the Central Bank. The forex issue dominated newspaper front pages. After a few obfuscating press releases and social media posts, Minister Imbert was forced to reinstate the special EximBank forex facility albeit at a reduced quantum, down to US$25 million from $30 million.
Next, the Privy Council’s appeal to reverse the Auditor General’s right to judicial review was summarily dismissed. The Privy Council did not find it necessary to listen to opposing arguments. One Law Lord asked why Mr Imbert was not himself subject to the same inquiry.
These matters reflect poorly on the Finance Minister’s judgement. He shares culpability for the Privy Council debacle with the Attorney General who ought to have known that this case stood little chance of success. The appeal was a wasteful abuse of public funds. It does not inspire public confidence that the affairs of the state are being well managed or that the public interest is uppermost.
Both matters raise uncomfortable questions. Complaints about restricted access to forex have been persistent and are only likely to get worse if the current policy is maintained. However slowly, the official foreign exchange reserves have been in persistent decline over the last ten years. Throughout the period government has run fiscal deficits that fuel the demand for foreign exchange. Further, by increasing its foreign borrowings, the government is increasing its foreign exchange debt service requirement which exacerbates the forex outflow.
The reduction in credit card limits has continued reinforcing the point that access to forex is increasingly problematic. Attempting to solve the problem with bureaucratic devices or by investigating commercial banks are not market-driven solutions. Demand for forex is greater than the supply and the shortage requires a market adjustment, either by increasing the supply or by letting the floating rate mechanism work.
The Central Bank has been silent on this matter and has given Minister Imbert ample time to recognise the futility of his approach. A fixed peg is incompatible with a floating rate mechanism. Instead, we are witnessing the re-imposition of foreign exchange control by the commercial banks with the tacit compliance of the regulator, the Central Bank.
Like the forex issue, the Auditor General’s report on the $2.6 billion revenue shortfall is cause for concern. The matter will not go away and cannot be swept under the carpet. The Auditor General is the country’s official whistle-blower. S116 (2) requires the Auditor General to give an opinion on the public accounts of the GORTT annually and access to all accounting records. S 116(3) amplifies that right and S116(6) enshrines the independence of the office indicating that it “shall not be subject to the direction of any other person or authority.”
Yet the Auditor General was denied access to a review of the Central Bank’s accounting system to determine whether the $2.6 billion discrepancy has been satisfactorily resolved. The Central Bank claimed “confidentiality”. How could the government’s bank accounts at the Central Bank be confidential if the highest law, the Constitution gives the Auditor General the untrammelled right to examine all public accounts?
The stewardship of the Minister of Finance and the Central Bank links these two matters. There are questions which must be answered.