Government’s tabling of proposals in Parliament this week for $3.1 billion more in public expenditure, sets the stage for today’s Mid-Year Budget Review in the House of Representatives, where Minister of Finance Davendranath Tancoo is expected to lay bare the sustainable revenue growth strategy necessary to prevent any further ‘crash’ of T&T’s economy.
While blame for this proverbial bankruptcy has already been put squarely on the shoulders of the last Dr Keith Rowley-led People’s National Movement government by the minister, we are yet to hear from him of any adjusted revenue projections, although we can be guided by the fiscal 2024 Budget, which projected a deficit of $5.517 billion.
Therefore, all things being equal, the supplementary funding currently being requested will only serve to widen the overall budget gap to $8.6 billion.
This is why, as he takes centre stage today, Minister Tancoo is duty-bound to present a comprehensive, transparent and actionable plan for strengthening our domestic revenue position.
In its first seven weeks in office since assuming power following the April 28 General Election, the Kamla Persad-Bissessar-led administration has already moved to abolish property tax, which had brought in over $135 million in revenue from residential owners by May 2025.
The Trinidad and Tobago Revenue Authority (TTRA), which was due to fully operationalised this year, has also been disbanded, although it was designed to bridge a tax gap estimated at $10 to $15 billion, including $2 billion in fiscal year 2026 and a further $6 billion in 2027.
In the absence of these revenue streams, Government’s alternative approach to income generation needs to be clearly articulated today and in the ensuing debate, even as the Prime Minister herself remains focused on significantly reducing “unnecessary expenditure” and redirecting those funds towards essential services.
The Government also plans to utilise the available overdraft at the Central Bank to refinance at least 60 per cent of maturing treasury bills, thereby freeing up funds. Mrs Persad-Bissessar has further indicated there will be withdrawals from the Heritage and Stabilisation Fund, as well as borrowing on the international market as needed.
While these actions may be deemed essential in the short term, Government must, of necessity, articulate sustainable long-term financial strategies to the public, as every extra dollar spent without a corresponding revenue generation adds to the national debt and imposes a greater burden on future generations.
While we await that information, the nation will also be keenly observing how the additional $3.1 billion in supplementary funding will be distributed, and whether a significant portion will be directed towards essential capital initiatives that can spur economic development and establish enduring assets or will mainly be used to cover non-revenue yielding expenditure.
The insights provided during Monday’s Standing Finance Committee suggest that the added spending will be focused on recurrent expenditure and settlement of outstanding debts.
Tancoo, however, has more information than we do and therefore is best poised to give a fuller picture of the financial reality facing T&T today.
While we do not expect any opportunity will be missed by the current Government to highlight the shortcomings of the previous PNM administration, we believe its time would be better spent, and the country better served, in the articulation of a clear and workable plan to provide long-term solutions to the problems facing T&T.