GEISHA KOWLESSAR-ALONZO
geisha.kowlessar@guardian.co.tt
CEO OF Amcham T&T Nirad Tewarie says this country's foreign exchange situation is a hard problem to solve as any move can have a major adverse effect.
In an interview with Guardian Media at the organisation's 28th annual HSSE Conference and Exhibition launch which took place at the Hyatt Regency on Monday night, Tewarie said any adjustment would likely have an adverse impact, whereas inaction also could mean the current shortages could persist.
"I think it is clear (forex problem) is getting even more acute. This is a really big issue for businesses and ordinary people for quite a while. The solutions are complex and anything you do is going to have a consequence and anything that you don't do is going to have a consequence.
"Right now, what we are seeing is a lot of the consequences of trying to wait it out, but a knee-jerk reaction in the opposite direction could have other negative consequences such as inflation," Tewarie explained.
He said in attempts to find solutions to the problem this ought not to result in "more Government insertion" into the process as this would just make an "imperfect situation more imperfect" as the objective is to get closer to a point of more market equilibrium.
"We see some calls for the Government to decide on specific allocations. That is not what you want in any economy. You want to be free and for there to be a high level of economic freedom and to have an easy environment to do business," Tewarie explained.
On his take whether Government should devalue or float the dollar, Tewarie said this is a though policy question.
"What is clear is that we don't have a float any more. If the dollar was floated, we don't know where it will land. We don't know exactly how confidence will be built and therefore, what the impact on inflation will be but at the same time we know that continuing to operate in the way that we are operating is causing significant pain and strain and to some extent putting some stifling pressures on the economy," Tewarie added.
Such pressures he said, are being felt particularly by small businesses and even ordinary citizens.
"If you think of a family of four trying to travel, it is going to be very difficult far less for a small businessperson," Tewarie stated.