In his final speech as chairman of the Energy Chamber of T&T, Dwight Mahabir is advising that if this country does not have clearly defined decarbonisation pathways, it will be difficult for long-term investment into the sector.
And without investment, he emphasised, production will decline.
“At the end of 2021 the production of natural gas fell to just two and a half billion cubic feet per day, a long way below the peak production and installed capacity of about 4.1, 4.2 billion cubic feet per day,” Mahabir cited.
He made the remarks while speaking at the “Conversations on Energy and the Economy” hosted by the Energy Chamber and held at Hyatt Regency on Wednesday afternoon.
But over the past few months Mahabir said there have been some positive increase in production with new developments coming online.
“However, the stark reality is that even with these new developments it is going to be a struggle to just maintain current production levels over the next few years,” Mahabir warned.
Noting that the local energy industry faces “an interesting dual challenge” Mahabir explained firstly to reduce the downward trend in oil and gas production while investing in decarbonising energy systems.
“These two challenges might seem a bit contradictory but they are actually closely intertwined and complimentary,” Mahabir said, adding that over the last few years many global companies have placed green house gas emissions reductions as a key strategic consideration.
And having net zero targets, Mahabir said, has had a profound impact on the global energy system and how companies are assessing investment opportunities.
Additionally, he noted the Russian invasion of the Ukraine has added a new focus on energy security which has led to higher prices in the short term and a renewed focus on investment in oil, gas and even coal.
But, Mahabir said, this does not mean that the drive for net zero has gone away, noting that Europe is focusing more investment on domestic energy sources including solar and wind and in some cases nuclear energy.
According to Mahabir as the cleanest of the fossil fuel natural gas plays a crucial role in helping reduce the emissions from coal fired electricity generation and integrates well with intermittent renewables as well as a key feed stock for many of the petrochemicals set to play a key role in the energy transmission.