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Wednesday, June 4, 2025

Energy usage and GDP per capita

by

20 days ago
20250513

The Gross Do­mes­tic Prod­uct (GDP) of a coun­try is the mar­ket val­ue of all the fi­nal goods and ser­vices pro­duced with­in a coun­try’s bor­ders.

For the most part, it is one of the most wide­ly used in­di­ca­tors to mea­sure the size and the per­for­mance of a coun­try’s econ­o­my. GDP per capi­ta sim­ply di­vides the GDP by the size of the pop­u­la­tion. It is a mea­sure of a coun­try’s eco­nom­ic out­put per per­son and serves as an in­di­ca­tor of the av­er­age stan­dard of liv­ing and eco­nom­ic well-be­ing of each per­son. In this in­stance, the da­ta is ad­just­ed for pur­chas­ing pow­er par­i­ty.

En­er­gy use refers to the use of pri­ma­ry en­er­gy be­fore trans­for­ma­tion to oth­er end-use fu­els, which is equal to in­dige­nous pro­duc­tion plus im­ports and stock changes.

The re­la­tion­ship be­tween GDP per capi­ta and en­er­gy use is gen­er­al­ly pos­i­tive, mean­ing that coun­tries with high­er GDP per capi­ta tend to use more en­er­gy per per­son. This is be­cause greater eco­nom­ic ac­tiv­i­ty and af­flu­ence typ­i­cal­ly lead to in­creased con­sump­tion of goods and ser­vices, which re­quire en­er­gy for their pro­duc­tion, trans­porta­tion, and use.

There are no rich coun­tries that use rel­a­tive­ly low amounts of en­er­gy and there are no coun­tries us­ing high amounts of en­er­gy, that are not rel­a­tive­ly rich.

Map­ping the two against each oth­er in­di­cates how ef­fi­cient­ly a coun­try us­es en­er­gy to gen­er­ate eco­nom­ic out­put: coun­tries above the trend use high­er amounts than av­er­age to gen­er­ate eco­nom­ic out­put; those be­low use rel­a­tive­ly low­er amounts of en­er­gy to gen­er­ate wealth.

T&T and Guyana are two out­liers from the trend. T&T has tra­di­tion­al­ly been one of the high­est in­come coun­tries in the Cari­com. But it al­so con­sumes the most en­er­gy, con­sum­ing rough­ly 10 times as much en­er­gy as the re­gion­al av­er­age. This is large­ly due to heavy in­dus­try in the oil and gas sec­tor, along with the petro­chem­i­cal sec­tor, iron and steel and ce­ment sec­tors. Al­so, low elec­tric­i­ty costs lead to high de­mand from com­mer­cial and do­mes­tic users.

Guyana on the oth­er hand has ramped up pro­duc­tion of its oil and gas and has be­gun earn­ing sig­nif­i­cant rev­enue which con­tributes to stel­lar GDP growth.

Guyana’s rel­a­tive­ly small pop­u­la­tion size means their GDP per capi­ta will al­so grow sig­nif­i­cant­ly, and it is now the largest in the re­gion. This GDP growth has been dri­ven by the pro­duc­tion and ex­port of oil off­shore rather than the de­vel­op­ment of en­er­gy con­sum­ing in­dus­tries on­shore, hence the high lev­els of GDP per capi­ta with still rel­a­tive­ly low lev­els of en­er­gy con­sump­tion in the over­all econ­o­my.

As the econ­o­my grows and new in­dus­tries are cre­at­ed, the ex­pec­ta­tion is that Guyana’s pri­ma­ry en­er­gy con­sump­tion will al­so in­crease rapid­ly.

En­er­gy ef­fi­cien­cy will be a ma­jor top­ic of dis­cus­sion at the En­er­gy Cham­ber’s Caribbean Sus­tain­able En­er­gy Con­fer­ence on June 2 to 4, 2025.


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