In my analysis last Sunday of Guyana’s September 1 general and regional elections, I’d said that newly re-elected President Dr Irfaan Ali needs to govern inclusively. In his inauguration speech, it was an imperative that he himself recognised.
The visible sign of Guyana’s success is the boom that is taking place, particularly around greater Georgetown. Guyana’s annual real GDP growth is 10.3 per cent, the highest in the world. Foreign investment is surging. New reserves of oil have been discovered offshore.
Guyana has been an economic bullet train these past few years, and Ali has mostly met the moment. He seemed to grow in the job, moving with confidence on the international stage. He brought the substance in a feisty, viral BBC HARDTalk segment in April 2024, but he’s one of the best in the game at the symbolism–from clapping roti at a Guyanese kitchen in New York to cooking curry for fellow Caricom leaders he hosted.
I had a couple of conversations with the Guyanese leader earlier in his first term, and I sensed rather than heard this from him–that he’s seeking nothing less than a realignment of Guyanese politics. To smash the racial moulds, or if you want to be less charitable, to permanently neutralise longstanding rivals APNU as a political force.
He’ll continue to peel supporters from them. Two catalytic initiatives he seems to care deeply about are sports facilities construction and land deeds and titles allocation. However, he has to address the perception from some citizens that trickle-down and wealth sharing have not occurred. That may be the key to a relentlessly ambitious president growing his base in the way that he wants to.
The construction boom masks problems. Execution and planning often don’t go together. Some of the buildings in the fast-expanding zone south of Georgetown, East Bank Demerara, can run ahead of utilities such as water and roads.
Zoning in the capital is terrible. A well-endowed investor can seemingly erect a towering eyesore in a historical area. With notable exceptions such as Georgetown’s City Hall and St George’s Cathedral, too many historic buildings are under threat of decay or demolition.
Guyana is badly in need of heritage initiatives, including building listing and preservation. She can’t save them all, but she must do more to save more. The Government can give the impression of being in thrall to new money. They need to demonstrate greater sensitivity to heritage and history.
What do they want Guyana to look like in 2035? Ali seems sincere and purposeful about transformation. New roads. Great. International-class educational institutions. A paved highway upgrading the road to Brazil would be a fantastic accomplishment. We marvel at the stunning new bridge across the Demerara. We’ve been told of plans for a bridge across the main river in the east, the Berbice, and a bridge to Suriname over the Corentyne River.
What I’d also like to hear is a comprehensive, detailed, joined-up development vision communicated to Guyanese citizens at home or abroad. A long-term vision, not piecemeal updates. For a country of Guyana’s size, railway should be a serious transport option. Is it? Government communications, never a strong point, need to step up big time here.
Food and agriculture is a sector for which the president harbours the most ambition, but it’s also the area of his most conspicuous first-term failure. Guyana aims to feed the Caribbean but can’t offer affordable everyday food items in her markets. A large foreign workforce has caused sharp food price inflation.
There’s progress.
Agro-processing investments are in, and more land is under cultivation, but the realisation of the president’s grand plan should start with his citizens being able to afford the price of tomato and bodi. The Opposition failed to exploit this as a campaign issue when it was a clear area of vulnerability.
Caricom’s 25 by 25 initiative, aimed at reducing the region’s $6B food bill by 25 per cent by 2025, has been pushed back to 2030.
The main reason seemed to be uncertainty caused by Trump’s haphazard imposition of tariffs, but it is not a good look for the Guyanese president, the regional lead on this– Caricom and its partner, the Caribbean Private Sector Organisation. And we need relief sooner.