From the moment Jack Warner broke ties with the UNC he mounted a blazing attack on the cabal which he claims is controlling the Prime Minister; a claim that a group of four top UNC MPs seek to influence the PM in important decisions, including those against him.
To a great extent this was a consistent theme throughout his campaign. While he attacked the cabal fearlessly, he was gentler to the PM. In fact, his campaign seemed to be more focused on the workings of the cabal than the UNC candidate who should have been his more direct opponent. As each member of the cabal attempted to rebut his allegations, Warner was able to effectively counteract and nullify their arguments.
It appears that the cabal provided a basis for Jack to mount his campaign. On reflection one is left to wonder whether the cabal was mainly responsible for the ILP's victory. Could Warner's victory be interpreted that the Chaguanas West constituents see the cabal as not just controlling the power of the UNC but also the power of the state? And, as suggested by Warner, the resources of the state are being shared by just a few, their friends and their families?
If this is the perception, then the PM has a real problem on her hand. She must now be considering very carefully the value of the cabal to her. Some have advocated that she may already be aware of this. Are the results an indication that Jack's sentiments about the behaviour of the cabal are shared by the majority of the electorate?
The leaders of the PP must now be considering how the population will react if presented with the same slate of "cabal ministers" in the future. Local government elections are a few months away. Success and failure for the PP will depend significantly on how the PM positions her campaign against a backdrop of an unpopular cabal.
Dr Ramchand Rampersad
El Socorro