At the post-Cabinet news conference on May 15, Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar announced that three of her ministers—Minister of Finance, Davendradath Tancoo, Minister of Planning, Economic Affairs and Development, Kennedy Swaratsingh and Minister of Trade, Investment, and Tourism, Satyakama “Kama” Maharaj—were mandated to produce a report on foreign exchange distribution and leakage over the past ten years.
The Prime Minister emphasised that she expected the report to focus on the formal distribution system of foreign exchange, but also on the “leakage” of foreign exchange from the formal distribution system, which she described as “a serious matter.”
She said one of the cries the current administration has heard is on the issue of foreign exchange availability. As a result, said Mrs Persad-Bissessar, the Government needs to know where the foreign exchange went, who received the foreign exchange, why they received it, the process used to determine who received foreign exchange, and how that foreign exchange was used or deployed.
She said the foreign exchange distribution and leakage report will be brought to the Cabinet and the report will be shared with the public.
“Then this report, as I say, will be made public to identify the main users, the main facilitators of this unfair distribution, and explain to the public how this entire foreign exchange distribution cartel and conspiracy between certain operatives and businesses was functioning.
“I want you all to understand that everything will be all right. With regard to our country’s finances, I give you an assurance against we will fix it. We will do everything humanely possible to fix it,” said the T&T Prime Minister.
Exposing main forex users?
It seems to me that what Mrs Persad-Bissessar is interested in is a report similar to the one delivered by former Central Bank Governor, Jwala Rambarran on December 4, 2015, at the Central Bank’s fifth bi-annual Monetary Policy Forum. During that meeting, Mr Rambarran named the top five users of foreign exchange by sector and the amount they had used for the previous three years.
As is well known, on December 24, 2015, at around 6:30pm, Mr Rambarran received a document revoking his appointment as Governor.
That instrument of revocation was issued by the then acting President, Christine Carla Kangaloo, but did not contain any reasons or grounds which would explain to the Mr Rambarran the basis on which his appointment had been revoked, according to the June 2022 judgment delivered by High Court Justice Devindra Rampersad.
Before the high court, Mr Rambarran’s attorneys argued the Ministry of Finance failed to provide him with sufficient particulars of the matters alleged against him that were taken into account in the decision to terminate his appointment. The attorneys also argued that Mr Rambarran was not given an opportunity to be heard in defence of the disclosures he made.
Mr Rambarran was successful before the High Court and the judgment by Justice Rampersad was upheld by a three-member panel of the Court of Appeal on February 11, 2025, with Justice of Appeal, Nolan Bereaux, issuing the judgment.
I have not read all of the judgments at the High Court and the Court of Appeal on this matter, but I wonder if the local judiciary paid sufficient attention to the Central Bank Act and the Financial Institutions Act, which provide for secrecy and confidentiality, respectively.
At section 56 (1), the Central Bank Act states: “Except in so far as may be necessary for the due performance of its objects, and subject to section 8 of the Financial Institutions Act, every director, officer and employee of the Bank shall preserve and aid in preserving secrecy with regard to all matters relating to the affairs of the Bank, any financial institution or person registered under the Insurance Act or of any customers thereof that may come to his knowledge in the course of his duties.”
Section 8 (1) of the Financial Institutions Act, under the rubric ‘prohibition against disclosure,’ states: “No director, officer or employee of the Central Bank or person acting under the direction of the Central Bank shall disclose any information regarding the business or affairs of a licensee or any of its affiliates or information regarding a depositor, customer or other person dealing with a licensee, that is obtained in the course of official duties.”
Section 8 (2) of the Financial Institutions Act states that notwithstanding subsection (1) or any other written law, the Central Bank, or a person authorised in writing by the
Central Bank, may disclose the information referred to in subsection (1) to: any local or foreign regulatory agency or body that regulates financial entities; for purposes
related to that regulation; the Deposit Insurance Corporation for purposes related to its operations; or the designated authority under the Proceeds of Crime Act, “if the Central Bank is satisfied that the information will be treated as confidential by the agency or body to whom it is disclosed and used strictly for the purpose for which it is disclosed.”
In short, I am sure that the laws of T&T do not allow the Central Bank to disclose the names of the top users of foreign exchange in T&T. And I am not convinced that the phrase “except in so far as may be necessary for the due performance of its objects,” in the Financial Institutions Act, provides a loophole to allow the disclosures that were made in December 2015.
I am yet to find a precedent, around the world and in the history of banking, for the disclosure of private banking information by the head of a Central Bank at a public forum. If this matter is appealed to T&T’s apex court, which is the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council, I am sanguine that that body will concur with the notion that the code of secrecy among central bankers prevents the identification of specific companies, on grounds that include the public has a right to know who is getting access to the limited supply of foreign exchange.
I would be very surprised if the current Central Bank Governor, Dr Alvin Hilaire, acquiesces to any request, or demand, by Minister of Finance, Davendradath Tancoo, for information on the companies that are the largest users of foreign exchange at this time.
I trust that the most the Central Bank would be prepared to share would be categories of foreign exchange users—such as food imports, pharmaceutical imports, new and foreign-used cars, payment for fuel imports, and the satisfaction of US-dollar credit card bills—which the Central Bank already provides in its various publications.
Structure of forex market
In my view, the fundamental problem with T&T’s foreign exchange market is not distribution or leakage, but the fact that demand for foreign exchange has outstripped the supply of it, at the de facto top rate of US$1 to TT$6.79, on a consistent basis for at least the last 12 years.
This is borne out by the Central Bank’s Annual Economic Survey 2024, which states that the supply of foreign exchange by authorised dealers to the market last year amounted to US$4.54 billion. The demand for foreign exchange by authorised dealers to the public reached US$5.89 billion in 2024, a decrease of 5.3 per cent relative to the previous year.
According to the survey, “The net sales gap reached US$1.35 billion during the period. To support the market, the Central Bank sold US$1.36 billion to authorised dealers.” Part of the Central Bank’s sale of the US$1.36 billion to authorised dealers came from the draw down of T&T’s net official foreign reserves and the Heritage and Stabilisation Fund as well as from borrowing US dollars on the international capital market.
That means T&T is depleting its reserves and savings and borrowing US dollars in order to fund the country’s seemingly insatiable appetite for foreign goods and services.
That is being done by way of an exchange rate that the International Monetary Fund considers to be stabilised and for which, according to the IMF, T&T maintains an exchange restriction subject to the Fund’s approval under Article VIII section 2 (a).
“The exchange restriction arises from the authorities’ restriction of the exchange rate (ie, by restricting the maximum market buy and sell rates, and prohibiting foreign
exchange transactions beyond the maximum rates), while not providing enough foreign exchange— ie through the Central Bank’s foreign exchange interventions—to meet all demand for current transactions at that rate,” according to the IMF 2024 Article IV consultation report on T&T.
In short, the IMF is arguing that the exchange rate used must allow all demand for current transactions to be met. I certainly concur with that advice.