Finance Minister Colm Imbert said the country's diversification attempts are being recognised, following the recent country rating affirmed by international ratings agency Moody's.
In a news release yesterday, the Ministry of Finance noted that Moody's affirmed Trinidad and Tobago’s rating at Ba2 with a stable outlook on December 16, 2024.
"This affirmation is underpinned by the country's return to sustained growth, primarily driven by the non-energy sector. Despite lower-than-projected energy revenues in fiscal year 2024, which have increased the fiscal deficit to 4.8 per cent of GDP from 1.7 per cent in fiscal year 2023, Moody's recognizes the government’s fiscal revenue diversification efforts, as evidenced by the operationalisation of the Trinidad and Tobago Revenue Authority (TTRA) in 2025," the ministry said.
The release continued, "The rating agency also acknowledges that potential fiscal risks are mitigated by significant buffers. These include the Heritage and Stabilisation Fund (HSF) and cash reserves amounting to more than 40 per cent of GDP in fiscal year 2024."
Finance Minister Imbert is qouted in the news release as stressing that the rating also reflected the government's commitment to the implementation of structural, fiscal and economic reforms.
Moody’s indicated that the outlook on the current Ba2 rating remains stable, as a result of the decline in Trinidad and Tobago’s foreign-exchange reserves in early 2024 due to reduced energy receipts stemming from declining gas prices.
The rating agency however stated that, “Shell T&T's investment decision reduces uncertainty regarding Trinidad and Tobago's future hydrocarbon production prospects and aligns with our baseline view about renewed expansion in natural gas production starting 2027.”
Imbert said, “Our country is increasingly attracting oil and gas investment and Moody's recognizes this.”
The Minister also pointed out that other gas projects like the Osprey or the Cascadura fields should add production this year and support T&T's growth prospects.
The Minister said, “The outlook for the medium term is very promising.”
The Ministry explained that T&T's economic strengths were being recognised by international markets.
The release stated, "In June 2024, the nation issued a 10-year U.S. $750 million bond at a very attractive rate of 2.18% over U.S. Treasury Notes. Today, yields on Trinidad and Tobago's debt are lower than those of countries rated two or three notches higher by Moody’s, such as Panama (Baa3) and Colombia (Baa2)."
The Ministry stated Trinidad and Tobago currently has investment grade ratings of BBB- from S&P and AA from CariCRIS, reflecting the country's strong economic fundamentals and prudent fiscal management.