Based on all that our sources have been telling us over the past few weeks, we were not in the least surprised yesterday by Prime Minister Stuart Young’s announcement of an April 28 election date.
In fact, our Senior Political Reporter Gail Alexander would have reported as much a week ago when she quoted official sources as saying that the ruling People’s National Movement (PNM) was mobilising its resources to seek a new mandate from the people.
With that said, Monday’s elaborate unveiling of a full 28-member Cabinet, with key portfolio changes, including Finance and National Security, would have served to fuel speculation that Mr Young was planning to ride out the time currently available to him in government as a means of proving himself and his repurposed team—following the resignation of Dr Keith Rowley—fit to lead the country.
Instead, members of the electorate now have a matter of weeks to get accustomed to his leadership style and to determine whether it aligns with their collective view of the future.
In either case, there are political risks to contemplate:
Pushing the election date later into the year would have given the public more time to scrutinise the existing ministers and potentially expose performance gaps that could have turned away voters.
On the other hand, a shorter campaign period, of just 40 days from today, means less exposure to the public’s glare and scrutiny in an environment in which the Opposition is already smelling blood in the water.
Leading the charge against Mr Young is the United National Congress of Kamla Persad-Bissessar which continues to describe his appointment as prime minister as unlawful and to threaten to take the matter to court, even after President Christine Kangaloo, whose sole responsibility it is under the T&T Constitution to appoint the leader of the Government, dismissed its arguments and sought to put the matter to bed.
By announcing the election date sooner rather than later, Mr Young has therefore put paid to the UNC’s court threats.
And while the electorate will not actually vote for a prime minister on election day, he has effectively signalled to them exactly who they will be voting for as leader when they cast their ballots.
It will therefore be left to voters to determine whether they want him to return as prime minister at the helm of the PNM or whether they see it fit to choose one of the other available alternatives.
With that said, the PNM is yet to determine who will be its next political leader, even though Dr Rowley has told the country that he intends to step down from that position "at the soonest" opportunity.
We note that the party has navigated its recent challenges in a manner that has brought it to where it is able to present a united front to the public after MPs openly rebelled over Young’s selection as Dr Rowley’s replacement.
And if Young, as prime minister, leads the party to victory, it is difficult to envisage a scenario in which the elected MPs of the PNM would openly support anyone else but him for the top job.
However, for the sake of assuring that there are no lurking surprises around the corner, the party would do well to settle its political leadership sooner rather than later.